The invention provides a method for predicting the productivity of a water-producing gas well of a water-driven gas reservoir, which enables a mine field to directly analyze and judge the influence of the activity of a
formation water body on the productivity of the gas well. Based on a gas-
water seepage theory and a
material balance theory, parameters (water invasion constants) directly representing the active degree of a
formation water body are introduced into a gas well productivity equation by utilizing gas well production
dynamic data, a new productivity prediction model considering the influence of the high-speed non-
darcy effect, the active degree of the
water body and a
skin coefficient on the productivity of the gas well is established, and the method belongs to an original innovative technology. According to the method, the productivity of the water-producing gas well of the water-driven gas reservoir under different
water body active degrees can be quickly and conveniently determined by analyzing the model and utilizing gas well production
dynamic data, so that gas field developers can timely adjust a gas well exploitation
system according to the influence of different
water body active degrees on the productivity of the gas well, and the production efficiency of the gas well is improved. And theoretical guidance and
technical support are provided for formulating water control measures, delaying gas
reservoir water invasion and improving the gas reservoir development effect.