The invention relates to the technical field of
oil exploration and development, and discloses a stratum collapse pressure
earthquake prediction method and device based on
rock mechanics nonlinear variation, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the nonlinear fitting of
compressive strength with rock cohesion and an
internal friction angle through a triaxial
mechanics experiment, and obtaining a corresponding fitting relation; then, through
seismic inversion, a rock mechanical attribute body, an overlying stratum pressure body, a pore pressure body, a maximum horizontal
principal stress body, a minimum horizontal
principal stress body, and three-dimensional space rock cohesion distribution and
internal friction angle distribution are obtained through calculation; and finally, according to the pore pressure body, the maximum horizontal
principal stress body, the minimum horizontal principal stress body, the three-dimensional space rock cohesion distribution and the three-dimensional space rock
internal friction angle distribution, predicting stratum three-dimensional collapse pressure body data in combination with a collapse pressure calculation model. By means of the method, the formation collapse pressure can be predicted more accurately, geological disasters caused by improper drilling operation can be reduced, and therefore the geological environment is protected, and potential influences on the
earth surface and underground
water resources are reduced.