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68results about How to "Realize Quantitative Prediction" patented technology

Working condition monitoring and fault diagnosis method for mechanical equipment

The invention relates to a working condition monitoring and fault diagnosis method for mechanical equipment. The method includes the steps that (1), vibration signals are collected; (2), primitive segmentation is performed on the signals; (3), the signals are separated and classified; (4), parameter statistics is performed on the separated signals; (5), two-parameter distribution displaying is performed, wherein all kinds of separated signals are displayed on a two-parameter plane in a scatter plot mode; (6), a motion state matrix is established; (7), by the utilization of the motion state matrix established in the step6, actual measurement vibration signal statistics and equipment state qualitative recognition are performed; (8), a quantitative relation model among the working state, working parameters and separation signal time domain statistics results is established; (9), in the real-time monitoring process, the separation signal time domain parameter statistics results are substituted into the quantitative relation model established in the step8, so that quantitative predication and fault quantitative diagnosis performed on the working parameters are achieved. Through a simple signal monitoring device low in cost, data are collected, and the working conditions of the mechanical equipment are monitored and recognized in real time. By the adoption of the simple algorithm, qualitative diagnosis performed on faults and quantitative predication performed on the working condition parameters are achieved, so that conditions are created for state monitoring and scientific fault quantitative diagnosis of the mechanical equipment.
Owner:常州晶容创机械科技有限公司

Method of quantitative evaluation on oil and gas accumulation conditions based on seismic data

The invention is a method of quantitative evaluation on oil and gas accumulation conditions based on seismic data. According to the evaluation method, a mathematical model between seismic parameters such as seismic interval velocity and sandstone lens body reflection amplitude and hydrocarbon source rock residual pressure and equivalent hydrocarbon expulsion pressure is determined, the seismic interval velocity is acquired through seismic data correcting, and the hydrocarbon source rock residual pressure of a sandstone lens body is acquired according to the seismic interval velocity. Further, the sand body porosity is acquired according to the true thickness of the sandstone lens body, the equivalent hydrocarbon expulsion pressure is acquired according to the sand body porosity, and the oil and gas accumulation index of the sandstone lens body is acquired according to the hydrocarbon source rock residual pressure and the equivalent hydrocarbon expulsion pressure, thus completing quantitative evaluation on oil and gas accumulation conditions of the sandstone lens body. Quantitative evaluation on accumulation conditions of the sandstone lens body is realized with the use of the seismic parameters under the condition of lack of drilling and logging data, and the efficiency of exploration is improved.
Owner:CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEM CORP +1

Petroleum spatial distribution quantitative evaluation chart generation method under reservoir configuration constraint

The invention provides a petroleum spatial distribution quantitative evaluation chart generation method under reservoir configuration constraint. The method comprises the steps: collecting different types of hydrocarbon source rock samples sequentially according to thermal evolution degree, abundance of organic matter, lithology and organic matter type; carrying out the thermal simulation experiment of the collected samples, quantifying discharged oil and retention oil at each temperature point, employing the organic carbon analysis of residue, Rock-Eval detection, and vitrinite reflectance analysis; drawing an oil discharge rate chart of different types of hydrocarbon source rocks; selecting geological sections of different basins as actual geological samples; densely collecting the hydrocarbon source rocks and storage layer rock core samples and carrying out organic carbon analysis, Rock-Eval detection, vitrinite reflectance analysis and chloroform bitumen quantitative analysis on actual geological sections; drawing an oil discharge rate parameter curve of an actual geological sample; and obtaining the petroleum spatial distribution quantitative evaluation chart generation method under reservoir configuration constraint according to the oil discharge rate charts of different types of hydrocarbon source rocks and the oil discharge rate parameter curve of the actual geological sample.
Owner:PETROCHINA CO LTD

A method for establishing a high-speed train initial delay influence prediction model

The invention relates to the technical field of transportation, and aims at providing a method for establishing a high-speed train initial delay influence prediction model. The invention comprises a method for establishing an initial delay influence train number prediction model and a method for establishing an initial delay influence total time prediction model. The method for establishing an initial delay influence train number prediction model comprises the following steps of: comparing different alternatives of the first machine learning classification model, selecting the final first machine learning classification model, and selecting the final first machine learning classification model as the initial delay affecting train number prediction model. The method for establishing an initial delay influence total time prediction model comprises the following steps of: comparing different alternatives of the second machine learning classification model, selecting the final second machine learning classification model, and selecting the final second machine learning classification model as the initial delay influence total time prediction model. As that model process of the invention is convenient, the number of trains affected by the initial delay and the total time are predicted.
Owner:SOUTHWEST JIAOTONG UNIV

Method and device for predicting hardware resource use ratio of equipment cluster

The invention discloses a method and a device for predicting the hardware resource use ratio of an equipment cluster, and is used for improving accuracy for predicting the hardware resource use ratioof the equipment cluster. The method comprises the following steps that: prediction equipment obtains the performance feature library of a first equipment cluster, wherein the performance feature library comprises execution duration and resource expenditures generated when equipment is under an idle state and any one task is operated, the execution duration is required when different rounds of each stage contain different task amounts in different stages of one piece of equipment processing data contained in the first equipment cluster; the prediction equipment predicts practical execution duration required when each piece of equipment in a second equipment cluster executes tasks independently distributed in different stages in a data processing process according to the execution duration;and the prediction equipment predicts the hardware resource use ratio of the second equipment cluster on the basis of the practical execution duration, the resource expenditures and the configurationparameter of the second equipment cluster, wherein the second equipment cluster is a virtual simulation cluster obtained on the basis of the expansion of the first equipment cluster.
Owner:HUAWEI TECH CO LTD

Method for predicting high cycle fatigue life of steam turbine generator retaining ring and device for monitoring high cycle fatigue life of steam turbine generator retaining ring

ActiveCN102541053AHigh cycle fatigue lifeQuantitative monitoring of cycle fatigue lifeAnalysing solids using sonic/ultrasonic/infrasonic wavesElectric testing/monitoringRetaining ringElectric generator
The invention provides a method for predicting high cycle fatigue life of a steam turbine generator retaining ring and a device for monitoring the high cycle fatigue life of the steam turbine generator retaining ring. The device for monitoring the high cycle fatigue life of the steam turbine generator retaining ring is characterized by consisting of an ultrasonic flaw detector and a computation server, wherein the ultrasonic flaw detector is connected with the steam turbine generator retaining ring and the computation server. The invention has the advantages that: quantitative prediction and quantitative monitoring on the high cycle fatigue life of the steam turbine generator retaining ring are realized; and if the safety of the high cycle fatigue life of the steam turbine generator retaining ring does not meet the requirement, the steam turbine generator retaining ring is required to meet the requirement for the safety of the high cycle fatigue life by redesigning in a design stage or removing surface crackles in a manufacturing stage, thus achieving a technical effect that the high cycle fatigue life of the steam turbine generator retaining ring is quantitatively predicted and monitored.
Owner:SHANGHAI POWER EQUIP RES INST

Design monitoring device and method for thermal power generating unit usability

The invention relates to a design monitoring device for thermal power generating unit usability. The design monitoring device for the thermal power generating unit usability is characterized by comprising a thermal power generating unit usability computing server, a data base server, a web page server and a user side browser, wherein the computing server is connected with the data base server and the web page server, and the web page server is connected with the user side browser. The other technical scheme of the invention provides a thermal power generating unit usability design monitoring method adopted for the design monitoring device for the thermal power generating unit usability. The design monitoring device and the design monitoring method for the thermal power generating unit usability have the advantages that the design monitoring device and the design monitoring method for the thermal power generating unit usability are provided, and the quantitative forecast and the design monitoring for the thermal power generating unit usability are achieved. If the equivalent available factor (EAF) of a thermal power generating unit falls short of a good value, the optimization and the improvement of the thermal power generating unit usability are achieved through the improvement of material design of high-temperature steam pipelines of the thermal power generating unit, the adoption of redundancy design for major auxiliary devices and systems and the adoption of matured products or products of the same type.
Owner:SHANGHAI POWER EQUIP RES INST +1

High side wall displacement quantitative prediction method for a steeply-inclined stratified rock cavern group

ActiveCN111538071AApplicable to real-time dynamic analysis of stabilityReduce the minimum configuration requirementsGeometric CADEarthquake measurementAnalogue computationUnderground cavern
The invention provides a high side wall displacement quantitative prediction method for a steeply-inclined stratified rock cavern group. The method comprises the following steps: installing an ESG micro-seismic monitoring system, capturing a micro-seismic event occurring in a side wall area, and establishing micro-seismic databases I and II; establishing a numerical calculation model, and performing simulation calculation on an excavation process by adopting FLAC3D software according to a field excavation scheme of the underground cavern; determining the influence range of each micro-seismic event in the micro-seismic database I and calculating the seismic efficiency; calculating a mechanical strength parameter after the grid unit is degraded; after the ESG micro-seismic monitoring systemcaptures a micro-seismic event each time, substituting the mechanical strength parameters after grid unit degrading into a calculation model and carrying out analog calculation; obtaining the displacement values of all the grid units after the micro-seismic event occurs, and calculating a predicted displacement value of the layered surrounding rock of each part of the underground cavern side wallarea by combining the centroid coordinates of each grid unit, so as to realize the real-time quantitative prediction of the displacement of the high side wall.
Owner:CHANGAN UNIV

Thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring device and thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring method

The invention provides a thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring device. The device is characterized by comprising a thermal power generating unit reliability compute server, a database server, a web server and user side browsers, the compute server is connected with the database server and the web server, and the web server is connected with the user side browsers. In another technical scheme, the invention provides a thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring method adopting the thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring device. By the thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring device and the thermal power generating unit reliability design monitoring method, quantitative forecasting and design monitoring of power generating unit reliability area achieved. If equivalent forced outage rate of a thermal power generating unit cannot reach an excellent value, reliability of the thermal power generating unit is improved and optimized by means of improving material design of a high-temperature steam pipeline of the thermal power generating unit, adopting redundancy design for important auxiliary equipment and a system or adopting mature products, and accordingly technical effect of improving the reliability of the thermal power generating unit is achieved by the aid of reliability design monitoring.
Owner:SHANGHAI POWER EQUIP RES INST

High-angle crack prediction method and device

The invention provides a high-angle crack prediction method and device. The method comprises the following steps: performing first azimuth anisotropy inversion on wide azimuth seismic data based on aconstructed isotropic low-frequency model to obtain a first anisotropy intensity and a first anisotropy direction, and performing longitudinal wave speed anisotropy analysis to obtain anisotropy of alongitudinal wave speed difference and a fast longitudinal wave speed direction; carrying out anisotropism fitting on the first anisotropism intensity and the longitudinal wave speed difference to obtain the anisotropism intensity based on the longitudinal wave speed difference; and establishing an azimuth longitudinal wave anisotropy low-frequency model according to the anisotropy intensity basedon the longitudinal wave speed difference and the fast longitudinal wave speed direction, performing secondary azimuth anisotropy inversion on wide azimuth seismic data by the azimuth longitudinal wave anisotropy low-frequency model to obtain a second anisotropy intensity and a second anisotropy direction, and analyzing the second anisotropy intensity and the second anisotropy direction to obtaina crack prediction result. According to the scheme, a technical problem that a reasonable low-frequency model cannot be provided in the anisotropism inversion crack prediction process in the existingmethod is solved.
Owner:PETROCHINA CO LTD

Early warning treatment and detection process for underground structure differential settlement diseases

The invention discloses an early warning treatment and detection process for underground structure differential settlement diseases, and belongs to the technical field of underground structure disease treatment, the early warning treatment and detection process comprises the following steps: monitoring differential settlement displacement values at two sides of a disease part, and drawing a monitoring process curve; curve fitting is carried out, and an optimal fitting curve and an optimal fitting function expression are determined through comparison and selection; comparing a non-uniform settlement displacement monitoring value corresponding to a monitoring ending moment, a non-uniform settlement displacement predicted value corresponding to a certain moment in the future and a non-uniform settlement displacement allowable value, and performing early warning evaluation on the disease degree of the part; treating the part needing to be repaired and treated by adopting a grouting lifting method or a compaction reinforcement method; and establishing a quantitative evaluation index of the disease repair treatment effect, and quantitatively evaluating the repair treatment effect. Quantitative evaluation of the safe operation and maintenance state of the repaired underground structure can be achieved, and the problem that an effective quantitative early warning and treatment detection technology is lacked for the differential settlement disease of the underground structure at present is solved.
Owner:SHANDONG JIANZHU UNIV

Monitoring method for creep deformation design of high-temperature part of thermal power generating unit

The invention provides a monitoring method for creep deformation design of a high-temperature part of a thermal power generating unit. The monitoring method specifically comprises the following steps: inputting a material mark of the high-temperature part; determining service years m of the high-temperature part; determining annual average running hours t of the high-temperature part; calculating total running hours t0 of the high-temperature part; calculating principal stress and maximum principal strain of the high-temperature part; calculating equivalent stress sigma<eq> of the high-temperature part; calculating hydrostatic stress sigma<h> of the high-temperature part; calculating a correction factor A of multi-axial creep of the high-temperature part; determining design monitoring amounts of creep deformation of the high-temperature part; recognizing surface characteristic parts of the high-temperature part; conducting optimization control of creep deformation of a first class of surface characteristic parts; conducting optimization control of creep deformation of a second class of surface characteristic parts; printing output results. The monitoring method for the creep deformation design of the high-temperature part of the thermal power generating unit realizes quantitative prediction and design monitoring of the creep deformation of the high-temperature part of the thermal power generating unit.
Owner:SHANGHAI POWER EQUIP RES INST

A method for rapidly predicting the quantity of rice infected by aspergillus fungi based on an electronic nose

The invention discloses a method for rapidly predicting the quantity of rice infected by aspergillus fungi based on an electronic nose. The method comprises the following steps: carrying out ultraviolet sterilization on rice, and inoculating a certain amount of aspergillus fungi into the rice; carrying out headspace gas detection on the samples of the inoculated rice with different storage times by using an electronic nose; meanwhile, detecting the colony number of the rice smaples by adopting a traditional plate count method; and optimizing the electronic nose sensor array according to principal component analysis, and performing feature extraction on the optimized sensor response signal by using a stable value method; and finally, establishing a prediction model based on an electronic nose signal characteristic value and the colony number by adopting a partial least squares regression algorithm, and selecting a regression model with a large correlation coefficient and a small root-mean-square error as a final colony number prediction model so as to obtain a predicted colony number. The method has no damage to the rice sample, is simple to operate, has a good prediction effect, and has relatively high practical application value.
Owner:ZHEJIANG UNIV

Quantitative predication method applicable to formation water production before drilling of gas drilling

The invention relates to a method for accurately predicating the size of a formation water production amount before drilling of gas drilling, which is characterized by comprising the following steps of: (a) judging formation fluid; (b) explaining formation porosity; (c) explaining formation permeability; (d) explaining formation pressure; and (e) calculating the water production amount. According to the method disclosed by the invention, the formation pore pressure is explained and a seepage mechanics principle is finally combined to realize the quantitative predication of the produced water by utilizing an output formula; with the adoption of the method, the size of the formation water production amount can be accurately calculated before frilling and evidences can be provided for reasonable region selection and layer selection of the gas drilling; a water production complicated condition is avoided during the gas drilling and the success rate of the gas drilling is improved; the method is successfully applied to the Qingxi region of Yumen, the Sulige region of Changqing, a deep layer of Songliao basin, Sichuan-Chongqing region and the like; and a predicated result is matched with a field actual condition and an engineering application prospect is good.
Owner:邹灵战

Water invasion gas reservoir dynamic reserve prediction method, device and equipment and storage medium

The invention provides a water invasion gas reservoir dynamic reserve prediction method, device and equipment and a storage medium, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining collection data of a gas reservoir development unit, the collection data comprising daily production data, well shut-in static pressure at different time points and accumulated collection gas amount; according to the collected data, determining first gas reservoir dynamic reserves in different time periods by adopting a static material balance method; according to the daily production data, a flowing substance balance method is adopted to determine the dynamic reserve of a second gas reservoir; according to the first gas reservoir dynamic reserves, the second gas reservoir dynamic reserves and the accumulatively collected gas volumes in the different time periods, determining the relationship between the accumulatively collected gas volumes and the gas reservoir dynamic reserves at the different time points; according to the relation between the accumulatively collected gas quantity and the dynamic reserves of the gas reservoir, fitting a relation function between the accumulatively collected gas quantity and the dynamic reserves; the dynamic reserves are predicted according to the relation function of the accumulated collected gas quantity and the dynamic reserves, and the dynamic reserves of the gas reservoir can be accurately and rapidly predicted.
Owner:PETROCHINA CO LTD

Quantitative prediction method and device for volcanic rock cracks

The invention discloses a method and a device for volcanic rock crack quantitative prediction. The method for volcanic rock crack quantitative prediction comprises steps of obtaining drilling well rock core data, imaging well logging data and logging curves, generating single well crack density indication curves according to the drilling well rock core data, imaging logging data and logging curves, establishing an oil reservoir three dimensional geology model, extracting geology attribute reflecting cracks from the oil reservoir three dimensional geology model and extracting earth physics attribute reflecting cracks from earthquake data, performing correlation discrimination and generating a pre-judging result according to the single well crack density indication curve, the geology attribute and earth physics attribute, wherein the pre-judging result comprises some kinds of crack attributes, the crack correlation of which is greater than a preset vale, performing crack distribution simulation in a three dimensional space according to the pre-judging result, calculating the continuous distribution model of the three dimensional space and performing quantitative prediction on the crack between wells. The method and device for volcanic rock crack quantification prediction disclosed by the invention can realize the quantitative prediction of the crack between wells and can quickly and accurately determine the favorable task during the volcanic rock oil reservoir exploration and development.
Owner:PETROCHINA CO LTD

A Quantitative Characterization Method of Shale Compressibility Based on Petrophysics

The invention discloses a method for quantitatively characterizing the shale compressibility based on rock physics. The method comprises the following steps: (1) establishing a shale compressibility mathematical model; (2) analyzing the relationship between formation parameters and mechanics, and preferably selecting formation mechanical parameter characterizing factors; (3) regressively fitting a compressive strength elastic parameter characterization formula and establishing a formation fracture pressure elastic parameter characterization formula and a principal stress elastic parameter characterization formula; (4) establishing a compressibility index characterization formula, and verifying and calculating a compressibility index comprehensive data body; and (5) quantitatively characterizing and predicting the formation compressibility. According to the method, effective characterization factors of shale formation compressibility are selected through multi-parameter analysis to establish a shale compressibility index characterization formula, so that quantitatively characterization of shale compressibility is realized, the identification standard of shale compressibility is established, target optimization of formation fracturing reformation layers can be guided, the cost of shale exploration is reduced, and the success rate of shale exploration is effectively improved.
Owner:CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEM CORP +1

Thermal runaway spreading prediction method, and thermal runaway spreading prediction system

The invention discloses a thermal runaway spreading prediction method, and a thermal runaway spreading prediction system. The prediction method comprises the following steps: a maximum temperature rise rate value, working temperature, and maximum surface temperature are preset in a control device; the control device receives battery surface temperature fed back by a second temperature sensor; the control device receives environment temperature fed back by a first temperature sensor and a thermodynamic cloud picture fed back by a thermal imager; the control device obtains a real-time voltage value, a real-time current value, and a real-time charge state of a battery pack; the control device obtains a predicted temperature value according to the environment temperature, the thermodynamic cloud picture, the battery surface temperature, the real-time voltage value, the real-time current value, and the real-time charge state; the control device calculates a temperature rise rate according to the predicted temperature value; when the temperature rise rate is greater than a preset maximum value of the temperature rise rate, the control device outputs a control instruction with a thermal runaway problem. According to the prediction method disclosed by the invention, quantitative prediction of the thermal runaway spreading condition can be realized, the safety of lithium batteries during working is improved, and accidents are avoided.
Owner:FOSHAN UNIVERSITY
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