The invention relates to the field of
health behavior prediction and
rehabilitation management, and discloses construction and application of a
stroke patient home
functional exercise compliance risk prediction model. The method comprises the following steps: collecting demographic and clinical data and scale
evaluation data of a
stroke patient, and carrying out missing value
processing and preprocessing; identifying a compliance potential category by adopting potential
profile analysis, and determining an optimal cutoff value of a total
score of a scale through subject working characteristic
curve analysis to form a dichotomy result; key predictive factors are screened in a
training set by applying
LASSO regression, and a'non-good compliance 'predictive model is established by incorporating the key predictive factors into multivariate
Logistic regression; an online dynamic column graph webpage
calculator is developed based on the Shiny technology, and a user is supported to input variables in real time and output a
prediction probability and a
confidence interval; and the discrimination degree, the calibration degree and the clinical net income are analyzed and evaluated through five-fold
cross validation, Hosmer-Lemeshop test and decision
curve analysis. According to the invention,
rapid identification and hierarchical management of high-risk patients can be realized, and a basis is provided for follow-up visit and individualized intervention.