A "
perception statistical
performance model" (PSPM) can be used herein to model a
perception slice of a runtime stack of an autonomous vehicle or other robotic
system, e.g., for safety / performance testing. The PSPM is configured to: receive a computed
perception ground truth t; determine, from the perception
ground truth t, a probabilistic perception uncertainty distribution of the form p(e|t), p(e|t,c), based on a set of learned parameters, where p(e|t,c) represents a probability of the perception slice computing a particular perception output e given the computed perception
ground truth t and one or more confounders c, and the probabilistic perception uncertainty distribution is defined over a range of possible perception outputs, the parameters learned from a set of actual perception outputs generated using the perception slice to be modeled, where each confounder is a variable of the PSPM, the value of the variable characterizing a physical condition, p(e|t,c) dependent on the variable.