The invention provides a
heart transplantation nutrition prognosis analysis
system for a patient with
dilated cardiomyopathy, three factors including prealbumin (PA), total
bile acid (TBA) and NRS2002
score are incorporated into the analysis
system, a corresponding
algorithm is provided, and based on the
algorithm, the optimal cutoff value of an undesirable outcome is predicted to be 0.121, the sensitivity is 72.9%, the specificity is 92.9%, and the area under a ROC curve (AUC) is 0.885 (95% CI: 0.802-0.967); when the absolute error of a
calibration curve is 0.049, the HL
goodness of fit test is equal to 6.134 (P is equal to 0.632 gt, 0.05), the net income
threshold probability of DCA is 0.04-0.94, and the
threshold probability of CIC is greater than 0.50, the prediction is highly consistent with the actual outcome. Meanwhile, the AUC value of the
algorithm is obviously larger than that of other existing
prediction methods, the algorithm can serve as a reliable tool for evaluating the postoperative adverse outcome risk of the patient in clinical practice, an important reference basis is provided for optimizing the
individualized treatment strategy of the patient to be transplanted and perfecting the organ distribution scheme, and the accuracy and rationality of
heart transplantation diagnosis and treatment can be improved.