The invention relates to a port distributing and setting method based on a port arranging time
dynamic prediction model, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the daily average total
processing capability of a port in a situation that all types of berths are compatible with corresponding ship types, constructing a predicted queuing
time model according to the daily average total
processing capability of the port, and introducing a buffer fluctuation factor, the optimization module is used for optimizing a predicted queuing
time model; and by using the optimized predicted queuing
time model, obtaining the predicted queuing time of port
diffusion and port determination. According to the method, a dynamic evolutionary model is taken as a core, data is taken as a drive, the
arrival time of the ship and the port operation capability are analyzed in real time for each candidate port before the port is expanded and fixed, the predicted queuing time after the ship arrives at each candidate port is scientifically and dynamically estimated, and the optimal port is selected for port expansion and fixed. Therefore, the port queuing congestion risk is avoided as much as possible, the operation efficiency is improved, and the cost is saved.