The invention provides a short-term
traffic flow prediction method and device, equipment and a storage medium, and belongs to the technical field of
road traffic prediction. The scheme comprises the following steps: collecting historical road index data, wherein the index data comprises time characteristics, weather characteristics, road section characteristics and holiday and festival characteristics; carrying out one-hot coding
processing on the weather features, respectively carrying out normalization
processing on the time features and the road segment features, and carrying out binarization
processing on holiday and festival features; a decision-making tree and a corresponding prediction function are constructed through a
gradient boosting decision-making model according to the processed multiple groups of index data, multiple decision-making trees are generated through multi-round iteration, and the decision-making tree enabling the
loss function of the current iteration to be minimum is obtained through each round of iteration on the basis of the previous round of iteration; calculating the weight of each
decision tree in the prediction function based on the
loss function of each round; accumulating the decision-making trees constructed in each step through the weights to obtain a final decision-making tree; and inputting the latest collected index data into the final
decision tree, and outputting a prediction result of the
traffic flow of the current road in the next time period. According to the scheme, the problem that the
traffic flow prediction precision is not accurate enough due to the fact that the number of researched data dimensions is relatively small in the existing short-time traffic flow prediction technology is solved.