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184 results about "Predictive capability" patented technology

The ability of a system to predict certain ocean phenomena is the predictive capability of the system for those phenomena. It considers all sources and reductions of errors (initial and boundary conditions, model, data, etc.) and their evolution.

Traffic prediction method based on attention temporal graph convolutional network

The invention belongs to the field of intelligent transportation, and discloses a traffic prediction method based on an attention temporal graph convolutional network. The method includes the following steps that: firstly, an urban road network is modeled as a graph structure, nodes of the graph represent road sections, edges are connection relationships between the road sections, and the time series of each road section is described as attribute characteristics of the nodes; secondly, the temporal and spatial characteristics of the traffic flow are captured by using an attention temporal graph convolutional network model, the temporal variation trend of the traffic flow on urban roads is learned by using gated cycle units to capture the time dependence, and the global temporal variation trend of the traffic flow is learned by using an attention mechanism; and then, the traffic flow state at different times on each road section is obtained by using a fully connected layer; and finally,different evaluation indexes are used to estimate the difference between the real value and the predicted value of the traffic flow on the urban roads and further estimate the prediction ability of the model. Experiments prove that the method provided by the invention can effectively realize tasks of predicting the traffic flow on the urban roads.
Owner:CENT SOUTH UNIV

Binary prediction tree modeling with many predictors and its uses in clinical and genomic applications

The statistical analysis described and claimed is a predictive statistical tree model that overcomes several problems observed in prior statistical models and regression analyses, while ensuring greater accuracy and predictive capabilities. Although the claimed use of the predictive statistical tree model described herein is directed to the prediction of a disease in individuals, the claimed model can be used for a variety of applications including the prediction of disease states, susceptibility of disease states or any other biological state of interest, as well as other applicable non-biological states of interest. This model first screens genes to reduce noise, applies k-means correlation-based clustering targeting a large number of clusters, and then uses singular value decompositions (SVD) to extract the single dominant factor (principal component) from each cluster. This generates a statistically significant number of cluster-derived singular factors, that we refer to as metagenes, that characterize multiple patterns of expression of the genes across samples. The strategy aims to extract multiple such patterns while reducing dimension and smoothing out gene-specific noise through the aggregation within clusters. Formal predictive analysis then uses these metagenes in a Bayesian classification tree analysis. This generates multiple recursive partitions of the sample into subgroups (the “leaves” of the classification tree), and associates Bayesian predictive probabilities of outcomes with each subgroup. Overall predictions for an individual sample are then generated by averaging predictions, with appropriate weights, across many such tree models. The model includes the use of iterative out-of-sample, cross-validation predictions leaving each sample out of the data set one at a time, refitting the model from the remaining samples and using it to predict the hold-out case. This rigorously tests the predictive value of a model and mirrors the real-world prognostic context where prediction of new cases as they arise is the major goal.
Owner:DUKE UNIV

Medical billing system and method

A probabilistic medical billing system and method using contextual data and inferential logic for use in screening accuracy of medical bill coding and for presenting results as probabilities or predictions of correctness. The probabilistic medical billing system and method is accomplished using the contextual information contained in a care givers' patient encounter notes, a set of rules and keywords, and an inferential, logic, engine based on Bayesian mathematics or similar disciplines. The inventive device includes an input device to capture care giver's encounter notes or other information, a lexical engine that extracts information while preserving the contextual order of the information, a relational database that contains keywords, phrases and rules and a statistical/probabilistic engine that uses Bayesian mathematics or similar disciplines to create the output. The lexical engine parses a document into words and is capable of extracting keywords or phrases as listed or defined in a master list. Further, the lexical engine would preserve the relative position of discovered keywords or phrases as the keywords or phrases and relative positions were encountered. The Bayesian engine is a mathematical algorithm that uses inferential logic to analyze historical data and shows the results as a predictive level as to the accuracy of a medical bill produced from the source documents. The inherent nature of Bayes like algorithms allows them to learn and improve their predictive capability through the use of a feedback system which is also part of the invention. Variations in algorithms and data flow can be easily made to support other predictive output related to billing or for the purposes of data mining and statistical evaluation.
Owner:COX JAMES

Modeling method for boiler combustion optimization

The invention relates to a modeling method of a boiler combustion optimization. The prior method can not solve the problem of boiler combustion optimization. In the invention, segmentation is carried out according to the active parameter load of combustion of a boiler, the load working conditions of similar combustion situations are segmented into one segment, the load working conditions with large differences are separately modeled, and a modeling method which is suitable for small samples and has high generalization ability is adopted for the low load working conditions with less data or extremely low load working conditions; selections which are distributed evenly and equal in quality on a topological structure are carried out for model data before modeling, a proper pretreatment is carried out to guarantee the predictive ability and the generalization ability of models, and finally the models corresponding to the load segments are selected to be optimized according to the load segment where a real load is positioned. The invention overcomes the defects that the traditional modeling method can not carry out modeling for all loads under the conditions that combustion situations are greatly different and guarantees the prediction accuracy and the generalization ability of the models through the data selection and the pretreatment.
Owner:HANGZHOU DIANZI UNIV

Binary prediction tree modeling with many predictors and its uses in clinical and genomic applications

The statistical analysis described and claimed is a predictive statistical tree model that overcomes several problems observed in prior statistical models and regression analyses, while ensuring greater accuracy and predictive capabilities. Although the claimed use of the predictive statistical tree model described herein is directed to the prediction of a disease in individuals, the claimed model can be used for a variety of applications including the prediction of disease states, susceptibility of disease states or any other biological state of interest, as well as other applicable non-biological states of interest. This model first screens genes to reduce noise, applies k-means correlation-based clustering targeting a large number of clusters, and then uses singular value decompositions (SVD) to extract the single dominant factor (principal component) from each cluster. This generates a statistically significant number of cluster-derived singular factors, that we refer to as metagenes, that characterize multiple patterns of expression of the genes across samples. The strategy aims to extract multiple such patterns while reducing dimension and smoothing out gene-specific noise through the aggregation within clusters. Formal predictive analysis then uses these metagenes in a Bayesian classification tree analysis. This generates multiple recursive partitions of the sample into subgroups (the “leaves” of the classification tree), and associates Bayesian predictive probabilities of outcomes with each subgroup. Overall predictions for an individual sample are then generated by averaging predictions, with appropriate weights, across many such tree models. The model includes the use of iterative out-of-sample, cross-validation predictions leaving each sample out of the data set one at a time, refitting the model from the remaining samples and using it to predict the hold-out case. This rigorously tests the predictive value of a model and mirrors the real-world prognostic context where prediction of new cases as they arise is the major goal.
Owner:DUKE UNIV

Method for predicting ammonia process flue gas desulphurization efficiency based on multiple parameters

The invention relates to a method for predicting ammonia process flue gas desulphurization efficiency based on multiple parameters. The method is characterized by comprising the following steps of: selecting four different artificial intelligent computation models and taking parameters acquired in an ammonia process desulphurization system operational process such as multiple groups of flue gas amounts, flow of a circulating pump, the flow of a concentration pump, the ammonia concentration, the concentration of absorption liquid, the liquid-gas ratio, the inlet flue gas temperature, the ammonia consumption, the density of spraying slurry, the pH value of slurry of a spraying tower and the pH value of the slurry of a pre-washing tower as input variables of the four models; respectively training each model, and establishing a non-linear function relationship between four desulphurization parameters and the desulphurization efficiency; then respectively transmitting parameters monitored in real time into the trained artificial intelligent model, and predicting the desulphurization efficiency; and taking the average value of two predicted values in the middle as a final predicted value... The method disclosed by the invention can be used for better predicting the ammonia process desulphurization efficiency and has the characteristics of higher stability and stronger prediction capability compared with single model prediction.
Owner:NORTHEAST DIANLI UNIVERSITY

Traffic parameter short-time prediction method based on empirical mode decomposition and classification combination prediction in abnormal state

A traffic parameter short-time prediction method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and classification combination prediction in an abnormal state relates to the technical field of traffic information. The prediction method includes being combined with the data sequence process method of the EMD, solving unstable data sequence of traffic parameters in an abnormal state into a stable intrinsic mode function (IMF) with multi-scale features; constructing a filter bank based on EMD filtering characteristics, reorganizing the IMF into high-frequency filtering, medium-frequency filtering, and low-frequency filtering; according to different characteristics of the IMF of each group, performing predictions by using the grey theory, kalman filtering and auto regressive moving average (ARMA) model respectively; accumulating results of all the groups to generate real-time predicting results of the traffic parameters of next time interval; and according to the real-time predicting results of the traffic parameters and historical data in the abnormal state, and performing multistep prediction so as to obtain a final predicting result of the traffic parameters and a future development tendency. The traffic parameter short-time prediction method based on the EMD and the classification combination prediction in the abnormal state has a better predicting capacity on the traffic parameters in the abnormal state and a future variation tendency.
Owner:JILIN UNIV

Soil total nitrogen real-time detection method based on soil visible-near infrared spectrum library

InactiveCN103884661ASolve the repeatabilitySolve the problem that the data format is not uniform and cannot be sharedColor/spectral properties measurementsSpecial data processing applicationsSoil sciencePredictive methods
The invention discloses a soil total nitrogen real-time detection method based on a soil visible-near infrared spectrum library. The soil total nitrogen real-time detection method comprises the following steps: measuring data of visible-near infrared spectrums and data of total nitrogen contents of soil samples across the country to establish a soil visible near infrared spectrum-total nitrogen database; collecting the data of the visible-near infrared spectrums of a plurality of soil samples to be detected; selecting model establishing sample from the spectrum library for each sample to be detected to form a calibration subset by using a local weighted regression algorithm to establish a total nitrogen linear regression model based on the soil visible-near infrared spectrum database to obtain the total nitrogen contents of the samples to be detected, and evaluating accuracy of a prediction model. Compared with the conventional method for establishing a prediction model by merely using all the soil sample spectrums in the region, the prediction model established by the method is excellent in stability and universality, so that the prediction capability is significantly improved and the defects that the soil spectrums are repeatedly collected, the data format is non-uniform and is incapable of being shared, and the established models are incapable of being universally used can be avoided.
Owner:ZHEJIANG UNIV

Operation information prediction method, model training method and related device

The invention discloses an operation information prediction method. The operation information prediction method comprises the following steps: acquiring image data to be predicted; determining N characters to be predicted in a first character set according to image data to be predicted; acquiring a feature set to be predicted of each role to be predicted in the image data to be predicted; and acquiring first operation information corresponding to each role to be predicted through a target joint model, wherein the target joint model is used for generating second operation information accordingto the feature set to be predicted, the target joint model is also used for generating first operation information according to the second operation information, the first operation information represents information related to operation contents, and the second operation information represents information related to the operation intention. The invention also discloses a model training method anda related device. According to the invention, the cooperative capability of the micro-operation level and the macro-operation level can be obtained simultaneously by utilizing the target joint model,so that the prediction capability of the model is enhanced, and the rationality of information prediction is improved.
Owner:TENCENT TECH (SHENZHEN) CO LTD

Network security situation awareness model and method based on CE-RBF

The invention discloses a network security situation awareness model and method based on CE-RBF. The model comprises a data preprocessing module, a situation calculation module, a parameter optimization module and a situation prediction module. The method comprises the following steps: collecting data sets from different sources, and extracting principal component information for situation awareness to obtain asset attack threat data and system state data; calculating a risk value according to the asset attack threat data of the network equipment, and evaluating the security situation of the whole network; determining initial parameters of the RBF neural network, establishing an optimization objective function, optimizing the parameters in the optimization objective function by using a CEalgorithm, substituting the optimal parameter set into the RBF neural network after finding the optimal parameter set, and training by using historical network situation values as sample data; and performing situation prediction by using the trained RBF neural network. According to the method, the problem of parameter optimization in the high-dimensional model is solved by utilizing the efficientoptimization capability of CE, and the prediction capability of the neural network is improved.
Owner:湖北央中巨石信息技术有限公司
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