The invention relates to an issued electric quantity prediction method based on electric quantity
big data, and the method comprises the following steps: S1, obtaining and collecting the power utilization property and
network structure data of a load supplied by a
transformer area, and carrying out the analysis and control, and improving the quality of
line loss basic data in the same period; s2, constructing an
electricity sale quantity prediction model, and predicting future
electricity sale quantity; s3, establishing a
feedback loop, continuously self-calibrating the
electricity sale quantity prediction model by using an error
correction method, and carrying out future electricity sale quantity prediction correction by incorporating an event, updating and error correction means; s4, according to the corrected future electricity sale quantity, predicting line
transformer loss electricity quantity based on a line
transformer loss electricity quantity prediction model, and calculating issued electricity quantity based on the predicted line transformer loss electricity quantity and the future electricity sale quantity; and S5, displaying the historical electricity sale quantity, the historical power supply quantity, the predicted future electricity sale quantity and the predicted issued electricity quantity in a chart form. According to the method, complex
time dependency and nonlinear fluctuation can be captured, and the accuracy and fine
granularity of issued electric quantity prediction are improved.