A computer-implemented
system (100) for real-time detection of supply chain disruptions and forecasting of the
financial impact in a computer-driven ERP environment, wherein the
system (100) comprises: a
data acquisition interface (1) configured to continuously capture structured and unstructured operational data from one or more ERP modules, supply chain execution systems, and enterprise event streams; a
data management and
harmonization engine (2) configured to validate, normalize, deduplicate and semantically map the captured data into a unified, time-aligned canonical enterprise schema; a disturbance
signal fusion and
anomaly detection engine (3) configured to fuse signals from multiple sources and detect disturbance events using one or more
machine learning models to output a disturbance value, event class and a
list of affected nodes; a supply chain
dependency graph and a digital twin builder (4) configured to create and update a dynamic
dependency graph representing suppliers, facilities, transportation routes, SKUs, orders, contracts and lead times, and propagate disruption effects across the graph; a
financial impact forecasting engine (5) configured to estimate the real-time and forward-looking effects of the disruption on one or more financial measures, including sales, margin, working capital, cash flow, service level penalties and inventory holding costs, and furthermore the effects on the cost of goods sold (COGS) and / or the landed costs using a Kl-based forecast with a range of uncertainty; a module for coordinating corrective actions and automating workflows (6) configured to generate ranked corrective actions and initiate ERP
workflow steps, including reordering, reassignment, alternative sources of supply, production rescheduling and logistics diversions, wherein the ranked corrective actions include recommendations to resolve the disruption by using available stock, reassigning low-priority shipments or diverting shipments that can be delivered later within a
lead time window; an explainability, audit trail and compliance
logging module (7) configured to
record model inputs, feature assignments, decision justifications,
scenario assumptions and action results as an immutable audit trail; and a
visualization, alerting and
collaboration interface (8) configured to output real-time alerts, dashboards and
scenario comparisons to authorized users and downstream systems via APIs and role-based access controls, wherein the interface (8) generates a quick report view that displays early disruption signals and
impact on manufacturing costs, delivers notifications to mobile devices, triggers a special urgent notification if the disruption affects a high-priority trading partner, and accepts user responses on mobile devices that automatically and without
delay trigger corrective actions or updates in the ERP
system.