A diagnostic method for the remaining service life of a switching device, wherein performance characteristics of the switching device (1) are obtained with a measuring unit (41, 42) and then used as historical condition value data relating to a deterioration state of the switching device (1), are estimated with a condition value
estimation unit (51) on the basis of measurement data obtained by the measuring unit (41, 42); wherein, on the basis of the historical condition value data, a remaining service life
estimation unit (53) generates two or more sets of
data series, namely -
data series in which the state values are plotted, the abscissa indicating the elapsed time during an operating period of the switching device (1); -
data series in which the state values are plotted, the abscissa indicating the number of operations of the switching device (1) during the operating period of the switching device (1); - data series in which the state values are plotted, the abscissa indicating the non-
operative time of the switching device (1) during the operating period of the switching device (1); and - data series in which the state values are plotted, the abscissa indicating the accumulated
operating time of the switching device (1) during the
operating time of the switching device (1); wherein, on the basis of the data series among the generated two or more data series sets for which the correlation between the abscissa values of the generated data series sets and the state values corresponding to the respective abscissa values is the strongest, a first deterioration tendency of the switching device (1) is determined; wherein a first estimated value of the remaining service life of the switching device (1) is calculated on the basis of the first deterioration tendency; wherein the first deterioration trend is removed from the generated two or more data series sets; wherein a second deterioration tendency is determined on the basis of the data series from the two or more data series sets from which the first deterioration tendency has been removed, for which the correlation between the abscissa values of the data series sets from which the first deterioration tendency has been removed and the condition values corresponding to the respective abscissa values is the strongest; wherein a second estimated value of the remaining service life of the switching device (1) is calculated on the basis of the second deterioration tendency; and wherein the remaining service life of the switching device (1) is then determined at least on the basis of the first estimated value and the second estimated value of the remaining service life.