The invention discloses a multi-parameter
satellite component
health assessment and prediction method based on joint distribution evolution. The method comprises the following steps: S1, acquiring initial reference data of normal work of a
satellite component and current operation data of a latest complete period; s2, carrying out joint distribution
difference analysis on the current data and the reference data, and calculating the distribution difference by adopting a slice Wasserstein distance; s3, generating a health state index (HSI), and
smoothing the HSI through index
moving average; s4, constructing a monotonic constraint
Gaussian process regression model; and S5, estimating the residual life of the
satellite component in combination with the early warning and failure threshold values. According to the method, the multi-parameter
coupling degradation trend is captured, non-physical rising of a prediction result is avoided, a large number of samples and complex mechanism models are not needed, calculation is efficient, prediction is stable, in-
orbit deployment is easy, and the reliability of
health assessment and life prediction of satellite components is remarkably improved.