208 results about "Time horizon" patented technology

The invention provides control systems and methodologies for controlling a process having computer-controlled equipment, which provide for optimized process performance according to one or more performance criteria, such as efficiency, component life expectancy, safety, emissions, noise, vibration, operational cost, or the like. More particularly, the subject invention provides for employing machine diagnostic and/or prognostic information in connection with optimizing an overall business operation over a time horizon.

The invention provides control systems and methodologies for controlling a process having computer-controlled equipment, which provide for optimized process performance according to one or more performance criteria, such as efficiency, component life expectancy, safety, emissions, noise, vibration, operational cost, or the like. More particularly, the subject invention provides for employing machine diagnostic and/or prognostic information in connection with optimizing an overall business operation over a time horizon.

Through the use of a persistent connection between security, monitoring and automation controller devices and provider supported servers in an operator domain, recordation of sensor fault events, SMA controller events, and communication events is provided. Servers in the operator domain can record events and provide a filtered log of events surrounding an alarm event or other selected timeframe.

The invention provides control systems and methodologies for controlling a process having computer-controlled equipment, which provide for optimized process performance according to one or more performance criteria, such as efficiency, component life expectancy, safety, emissions, noise, vibration, operational cost, or the like. More particularly, the subject invention provides for employing machine diagnostic and/or prognostic information in connection with optimizing an overall business operation over a time horizon.

A method and apparatus for augmenting the conventional price-time chart used for technical analysis of securities price movements. In a preferred embodiment, the method takes a conventional Bar Chart or Japanese Candlestick Chart with a definite timeframe and then for each bar on the chart; it statistically quantifies the volume and time distribution throughout the range of the bar into discrete elements, using price and volume data within the bar interval from a sub-timeframe. The discrete elements are then graphically overlaid on the bar in a way which preserves its original appearance as close as possible. The apparatus is an application software which implements the method by displaying the conventional price-time chart, calculating the relevant elements and overlaying the values on the chart bars, either in a static or real-time market setting.

A method is described which enables a user to present on a single graph several attributes of the market behaviors of securities such as common stocks, options, commodities, and the like. It also enables a user to compare such attributes either along different time horizons, or to compare such attributes of two or more securities. In general, the prices are shown along the vertical direction, whereas an attribute such as volume would be shown as horizontal lines proportional to said volumes in length, and intersecting the price line at positions corresponding to the strike price. Comparisons of several securities as well as comparisons could be easily made, and historical information such as open, close, average, high, and low prices could also be provided though the use of proper legends such as colored lines, asterisks, and the like.

A physical activity measuring system analyzes analyzing body motions of a user to accurately determine the exercise intensity. The system includes a portable device which is adapted to be carried by the user and is equipped with a body sensor and an indicator for indication of the exercise intensity. The body sensor senses the user's body motions to give corresponding motion strength. The portable device has a processor which constitutes an exercise calculator which has a predetermined relationship between a default standard deviation of the motion strength and an exercise intensity scale. The exercise intensity calculator collects a time series data of the motion strengths within a predetermined first time frame, obtains a standard deviation of thus collected motion strengths, and converting the standard deviation into an instant exercise intensity within the intensity scale in accordance with the predetermined relationship. The standard deviation with regard to the motion strengths can be well concordant with the exercise intensity, and therefore gives the accurate exercise intensity on a real-time basis.

This invention relates to a system and method for valuing a portfolio in terms of its performance relative to a specified benchmark under a range of future scenarios. In particular, the invention takes a portfolio and calculates two values related to the portfolio: the first value corresponding to an amount by which the value of the portfolio is expected to fall below the value of a benchmark over a given time horizon, and a second value corresponding to an amount by which the value of the portfolio is expected to exceed the value of a benchmark over a given time horizon, in view of the range of different future scenarios. The invention provides a means for determining the portfolio which optimally trades-off these two values, and to evaluate risk/reward performance measures using these two values which can be used to rank instruments, securities or portfolios. The invention also provides a means for pricing portfolio insurance for optimal portfolios.

Mobile localization of an object having an object positional frame of reference using sparse time-of-flight data and dead reckoning can be accomplished by creating a dead reckoning local frame of reference, including an estimation of object position with respect to known locations from one or more Ultra Wide Band transceivers. As the object moves along its path, a determination is made using the dead-reckoning local frame of reference. When the object is within a predetermine range of one or more of the Ultra Wide Band transceivers, a “conversation” is initiated, and range data between the object and the UWB transceiver(s) is collected. Using multiple conversations to establish accurate range and bearing information, the system updates the object's position based on the collected data.

A Traffic Safety prediction Computer Program (TRAF-SAFE) and sub-models for predicting the number of accidents, injuries and fatalities expected annually at an intersection or series of intersections based on the particular intersection and roadway features. A finite analysis approach to an intersection is used to break the intersection into discrete elements such as lanes, turnbays, stop control signals, and traffic flow rates. The total annual expected accidents can then be calculated as a summation of the interrelation of the individual elements. A Poisson's distribution is used to statistically estimate the likelihood of the individual vehicles occurring within a discrete time frame being investigated. The conflict probabilities between various permutations of the traffic flow is then calculated and summed to determine the number of conflicts for the intersection or roadway. The conflicts are then converted to expected accidents, and the accident level is converted to injury involvements and Safety Levels of Service for the intersection and roadway.

Techniques for controlling an insulin pump include determining values for parameters selected from a group including a first prediction time horizon, a predicted glucose threshold (Goff) for turning the insulin pump off, a maximum shut off time within a time window, and duration of the time window. A safety rule is determined based on the maximum shut off time within the duration. Glucose readings are collected up to a current time. An expected current glucose value G and glucose temporal rate of change are determined based only on the glucose readings and a Kalman filter configured for noisy glucose readings. A glucose level (Gh1) is predicted for a future time that is the prediction time horizon after the current time. A command is issued to shut off the insulin pump if it is determined both that Gh1 is less than Goff and that the safety rule is satisfied.

Weather forecasting systems and methods for deriving and producing very short-term weather forecasts. Weather data and forecast information maybe input to derive very short-term weather forecasts in the 0-6 hour time frame. The system and methods include an expert system employing a hybrid or blending of forecasting approaches, with dynamic or intelligent arbitration of the different numerical, statistical, and human-driven techniques to produce more accurate weather forecasts for very short-term time periods. A calibration or internal verification against ground truth may be run independently with a time lag to produce more accurate future predictions of atmospheric state. The systems and methods may run in modes that produce either high resolution weather forecasts in the short-term period of 0-6 hours or a combination of synthetic, real-time weather observations/conditions and high resolution, short-term weather forecasts.

A method of providing financial advice to a client that provides sufficient confidence that their goals will be achieved or exceeded but that avoids excessive sacrifice to the client's current or future lifestyle and avoids investment risk that is not needed to provide sufficient confidence of the goals a client personally values. The method comprises obtaining typical client background information, as well as a list of investment goals, and ideal and acceptable values in dollar amounts and timing for each goal. The client is then asked to provide their preferences for each goal on the list compared to each other goal in the list, wherein the client's preference is expressed in terms of the price, in money or time, that the client is willing to pay in one goal to achieve another goal or a greater amount or sooner timing of other goals on the list. A matrix can be used to express these value contrasts. A recommendation is then created using the portfolio value, and the client goal preferences and the ideal and acceptable values of goals, by simulating models of the relevant capital markets and investing exclusively in passive investment alternatives to avoid the risk of potential material underperformance of active investments under the premise of avoiding investment risk that is not needed to confidently buy the client the goals they personally value. The recommendation may include a range of portfolio values over their life or time horizon within which the client's portfolio should remain in order to ensure the recommendation remains within a “comfort zone”, which represents sufficient confidence that the client's goals will be achieved while avoiding excessive current sacrifice. Periodic monitoring of the recommendation is also performed to capture changes to the client's goals and actual portfolio values based on the results of the capital markets. Appropriate changes to the recommendation can then be made to ensure that the recommendation remains within the “comfort zone”

A resource task-completion forecaster (122) of an ACD (104) determines a probability that an agent (156) will complete servicing a presently-assigned call by a specified time horizon h. The forecaster determines (202) the type of call that the agent is servicing, determines (204) the amount of time t that the agent has already been servicing the call, retrieves (206) the mean and the variance of time historically spent by agents on servicing this type of call to completion, fits (208) the mean and the variance to a lifetime closed-form cumulative-probability distribution F, such as a Weibull distribution, to determine parameters of dispersion and central tendency, evaluates (210, 212) the distribution for t and h+t, computes (216) the probability of the agent not having completed servicing the call by now as Q=1−F(t), and computes (218) the probability that the agent will have completed servicing the call by the time horizon as

A resource scheduler (124) sums (302) the probabilities P for all agents to obtain the number of agents that are expected to be available at the time horizon, and schedules (304) for the time horizon no more than that number of new calls for servicing by the agents.

A financial simulation computer program product and method to create a project preparation, negotiating, and testing environment using standard project finance tools. A computer usable medium having computer-readable program code is embodied in a medium for generating financial statements, financial data, charts, graphs and reports using the standard project finance tools. The product and method allow automatically generated or manual entry of and editing of capital expenditure time series for multiple contracts in multiple capital expenditure categories. Limited recourse including debt service reserve accounts, stand-by loans and risk-sharing with suppliers and off-takers is taken into account. A desired financing time horizon is selected for each loan. For each loan the user can either manually enter disbursements or select a capital expenditure category and finance a percentage of the category. A loan disbursement time series is automatically generated. A loan disbursement times series is optionally generated independently of changes in capital expenditures and exchange rates based upon an earlier automatically generated loan disbursement time series.

Embodiments of the invention relate to asset lifecycle management. A method includes assessing a current health condition of a plurality of assets that are managed by a plurality of different entities. Predictive analytics are applied to determine a predicted future health condition of the assets. Prescription options for the assets are determined based on the current health condition and the predicted future health condition of the assets. Each prescription option specifies an asset, a timeframe, an expected cost, and an expected future health condition of the asset. Spatial and temporal analytics are performed to combine individual prescription options into a unified project. The unified project includes prescription options that specify assets that are managed by at least two of the entities. A timeframe to execute the unified project is determined based on financial constraints and spatial constraints. The unified project plan is output.