The application provides a
wellbore stability prediction method, device and medium before drilling, and relates to the technical field of
petroleum engineering, and comprises the following steps: obtaining a three-dimensional seismic data body and a seismic
interval velocity of a to-be-drilled well area,
well logging interpretation data of an adjacent well, and determining simulated
well logging data of the to-be-drilled well; the adjacent well is a well adjacent to the to-be-drilled well; a fracture structure model of the to-be-drilled well area is established according to the simulated
well logging data and the three-dimensional seismic data body; a formation pressure model, a
rock mechanics attribute model and a ground stress model of the to-be-drilled well area are established based on the fracture structure model, the well
logging interpretation data and the seismic
interval velocity; a finite
element model of the to-be-drilled well area is established according to the fracture structure model, the formation pressure model, the
rock mechanics attribute model and the ground stress model; finite element forward modeling is carried out based on the finite
element model to obtain a collapse pressure, so as to predict the
wellbore stability of the to-be-drilled well. In this way, the influences of faults and fractures, ground stress and formation pressure on the
wellbore stability are fully considered.