The invention belongs to the field of
water environment monitoring and management, and particularly relates to an urban and rural river dynamic
water environment capacity prediction method. The method comprises the following steps of 1, performing high-precision rainfall forecasting and spatial
downscaling according to multi-
source data fusion; 2, dividing river
dynamic control units according to
water quality categories and control sections; 3, a multi-process
coupling model is constructed based on historical
monitoring data, and parameters are calibrated; 4, hydrodynamic
water quality spatial and temporal distribution is predicted according to rainfall forecast drive in the step 1; and 5, dynamically determining the
water environment capacity day by day according to a control section
water quality target. According to the method, through full-chain coverage of rainfall forecasting, water quality
simulation, capacity calculation and management and control decision, the river chief
system assessment section is directly supported to reach the standard, the accuracy of water environment capacity calculation can be improved, a scientific basis can be provided for water environment treatment, and urban ecological construction and
environmental protection are promoted.