The invention discloses a power distribution network reliability evaluation method considering an opportunity
maintenance strategy. The power distribution network reliability evaluation method includes the steps of 1, subjecting fault rates and reliability of power distribution network elements to modeling; 2, analyzing all maintenance
modes of a power distribution network, recording blackout influence of each
maintenance mode on each load point, and forming a report; 3, setting initial
simulation data; 4, generating N uniformly-distributed random numbers within an interval (0, 1), and acquiring N non-fault operation times according to a fault parameter
lambda in each element
state model; 5, seeking the minimal non-fault
operation time; 6, calculating reliability R(tR) of each element at a moment t; 7; if t<TTFi and R(tR)>Rp, executing a step 8, and if t> / =TTFi or Rj(tRj)< / =Rp, subjecting an element i to fault maintenance or subjecting an element j to
preventive maintenance; 8, subjecting the
simulation step to addition by 1, namely K=k+1, and if K<Kmax, and a reliability
clock tR=tR+H, returning back to the step 4 for
continuous simulation; if K> / =Kmax, executing a step 9; 9, ending a simulating process and calculating a reliability index of the power distribution network according to formula (4) to formula (11). The power distribution network reliability evaluation method considering the opportunity
maintenance strategy has the
advantage that influence of the opportunity
maintenance strategy on the reliability of the power distribution network can be evaluated precisely.