A multi-time-sequence EV equivalent power supply model modeling method considering a vehicle travel rule comprises the following steps: according to dynamic evolution characteristics of the travel rule of an
electric vehicle user, combining travel sample data, dividing into a summer scene and a winter scene according to seasons, and dividing into a workday scene and a holiday scene according to a
time sequence to
complete data fitting; then, a vehicle travel
state transition matrix is established through a semi-
Markov chain SMC, and a Monte Carlo method MCM is utilized to perform
random simulation on vehicle behaviors to obtain available
discharge capacities of the electric vehicles at all moments, so that an
electric vehicle cluster in a region is equivalent to a time-varying power supply model, and a multi-time-sequence EV equivalent power supply model is established; according to the method, by introducing a semi-
Markov chain and a Monte Carlo
random simulation method, available
energy storage capacity distribution characteristics of an
electric vehicle group in different scenes are described. The model can reflect
energy storage laws of residential areas, working areas and shopping areas in different seasons and days, and dynamic quantitative evaluation of the EV available power potential is realized.