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38results about How to "Reduce the difficulty of forecasting" patented technology

Power load prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium

The invention relates to a power load prediction method and device, computer equipment and a storage medium; and the method comprises the steps: in response to a power load prediction request, obtaining power load related feature data corresponding to the power load prediction request, the power load related feature data comprising historical power load values; further dividing the feature data into life power load related feature data and production power load related feature data; and then inputting a pre-constructed power load difference prediction model to obtain a life power load prediction difference and a production power load prediction difference corresponding to the prediction time information, and performing calculation processing on the historical power load values to obtain anpower load prediction result. According to the invention, through the life power load related feature data and the production power load related feature data, respective prediction is carried out byusing the model, and the fine degree of power load prediction is improved; the variance in the prediction process is reduced by predicting the power load difference value, and the accuracy of power load prediction is improved.
Owner:CHINA SOUTHERN POWER GRID DIGITAL GRID RES INST CO LTD

Electric energy measuring error estimation method

The invention relates to an electric energy measuring error estimation method. The method comprises the following steps: preprocessing metering data measured by an electric energy metering device to obtain a metering error sequence; performing wavelet conversion decomposition on the metering error sequence to obtain multiple groups of error sequence components; constructing a robust extreme learning machine model, regarding each group of error sequence component and the measured metering data as the input quantity to add in the robust extreme learning machine model as the input quantity, thereby obtaining an error prediction value of each group of error sequence component; adding the obtained error prediction values to predict the next generation of error value; preprocessing the error value to obtain the new metering error sequence, updating the measured metering data, performing iterative updating and cyclically predicting. Through the electric energy metering error estimation methodprovided by the invention, the rule in the original signal is extracted through the application of the wavelet conversion decomposition and the robust extreme learning machine model, the prediction difficulty is greatly reduced, the prediction precision and operation speed under the existence of the noise condition are improved.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH

Overheat early warning method for supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall using discretization conversion

ActiveCN106524123ALow costReduced number of overheatingSteam boilersSteam boilers componentsUpgradeEngineering
The invention relates to an overheat early warning method for a supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall, in particular to an overheat early warning method for the supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall using discretization conversion. In order to solve the problems that the generation technological requirements are high, overheat cannot be eliminated completely, over-frequent replacement or upgrade of pipelines can bring huge economical burdens to use units and pure temperature prediction cannot be popularized in practical application easily, the overheat early warning method for the supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall using discretization conversion is provided. The method is implemented through the following steps that first, a HistoryTable is established; second, the variables from dc1 to dc17 are output; third, the variables from gc1 to gc17 are output; fourth, the dmark variable is output; fifth, a disaggregated Model is acquired; and sixth, whether the supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall is to be overheated or not is subjected to early warning. The overheat early warning method is applied to the overheat early warning field of the supercritical boiler heating surface pipe wall.
Owner:CHANGCHUN INST OF TECH

Short-term power load prediction method and system based on hybrid model

The invention discloses a short-term power load prediction method and system based on a hybrid model. According to the method, the time sequence characteristics of the high-frequency component subsequences are extracted through the LSTM prediction model, the short-term power load is predicted in cooperation with the ELM-CATBOOST mixed prediction model composed of the CATBOOST prediction model and the first ELM prediction model, original power load data are decomposed into a plurality of intrinsic mode function components through the CEEMDAN decomposition algorithm, the model prediction difficulty is reduced, and the prediction efficiency is improved. The prediction accuracy is improved; besides, an LSTM prediction model is utilized to extract time sequence features of the high-frequency component subsequences, historical power load data and original power load data of the high-frequency component subsequences are combined to jointly serve as input features of an ELM-CATBOOST hybrid prediction model, input feature dimension information is greatly enriched, the advantages of a single model are integrated by using the ELM-CATBOOST hybrid prediction model, and the prediction accuracy is improved. The method has higher robustness and accuracy, and different input features and prediction models are adopted for high and low frequency component subsequences, so that the model complexity can be reduced.
Owner:CHANGSHA UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Severe convective weather prediction method and system for improving three-dimensional generative adversarial neural network based on hybrid evolutionary algorithm

The invention discloses a severe convective weather prediction method and system for improving a three-dimensional generative adversarial neural network based on a hybrid evolutionary algorithm, and the method comprises the steps: reading radar echo data from an original Doppler weather radar, generating a training data set, and dividing the training data set into a plurality of groups of input data; constructing a hybrid evolutionary algorithm by using a genetic algorithm and a cross entropy algorithm; establishing an improved three-dimensional confrontation generation neural network model based on a hybrid evolutionary algorithm; training the three-dimensional generative adversarial neural network model through the training data set to obtain a trained three-dimensional generative adversarial neural network model; the number N of radar echo data needing to be input is obtained according to the to-be-predicted time range, and the latest N pieces of preprocessed radar echo data are input into the trained three-dimensional confrontation generation neural network model for severe convective weather prediction. The severe convective weather prediction accuracy can be effectively improved.
Owner:HENAN UNIVERSITY

Prediction method and device for generating capacity of tubular turbine

The invention discloses a prediction method and device for generating capacity of a tubular turbine. The method comprises the steps: obtaining prediction parameters used for predicting the generatingcapacity of the through-flow turbine, wherein the prediction parameters comprise the water inlet amount H of a water storage device connected with the through-flow turbine, the water outlet amount F of the water storage device, the turbine efficiency E1, the generator efficiency E2 and the gravity constant g; based on a first preset formula, determining a plurality of first predicted generating capacities of the tubular turbine within a preset time according to the prediction parameters; according to the actual historical generating capacity curve of the tubular turbine, repairing each first predicted generating capacity, and obtaining a corresponding target prediction generating capacity. According to the method, the technical problems that the prediction difficulty of the generating capacity of the water turbine is increased and the accuracy of the predicted generating capacity is relatively low due to many parameters involved in the generation prediction of the water turbine and strong randomness of the parameters when the generating capacity of the through-flow water turbine is predicted in the prior art are solved.
Owner:GUANGDONG ELECTRIC POWER SCI RES INST ENERGY TECH CO LTD

Lottery user activity prediction method, system, terminal device, and storage medium

The invention discloses a lottery user activity prediction method, which comprises the following steps: acquiring original user data; extracting and converting the original user data; classifying andloading the original user data into a database in a specified format; and loading the original user data into a database in a specified format. Preprocessing the original user data stored in the database to obtain multi-dimensional user data; Obtaining a prediction feature set related to user activity according to the multi-dimensional user data; inputting The prediction feature set into a pre-trained GBDT algorithm-based activity prediction model to predict user activity. Correspondingly, the invention also discloses a lottery user activity prediction system, a terminal device and a computer-readable storage medium. The technical proposal of the invention can reduce the prediction difficulty of the lottery user activity and improve the prediction accuracy.
Owner:云数信息科技(深圳)有限公司

A method for estimating electric energy metering error

The invention relates to an electric energy measuring error estimation method. The method comprises the following steps: preprocessing metering data measured by an electric energy metering device to obtain a metering error sequence; performing wavelet conversion decomposition on the metering error sequence to obtain multiple groups of error sequence components; constructing a robust extreme learning machine model, regarding each group of error sequence component and the measured metering data as the input quantity to add in the robust extreme learning machine model as the input quantity, thereby obtaining an error prediction value of each group of error sequence component; adding the obtained error prediction values to predict the next generation of error value; preprocessing the error value to obtain the new metering error sequence, updating the measured metering data, performing iterative updating and cyclically predicting. Through the electric energy metering error estimation methodprovided by the invention, the rule in the original signal is extracted through the application of the wavelet conversion decomposition and the robust extreme learning machine model, the prediction difficulty is greatly reduced, the prediction precision and operation speed under the existence of the noise condition are improved.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH
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