The invention relates to the technical field of load prediction, and provides a
power load prediction method and
system based on
time sequence decomposition and an attention mechanism, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the adaptive
time sequence decomposition of an obtained original load sequence, calculating the
sample entropy of each decomposed component, and carrying out the clustering; constructing a group of
encoder and decoder networks for each piece of
clustered data, performing
parallel encoding to extract features, performing serial decoding reconstruction on the features from
low frequency to
high frequency, and outputting prediction data from
low frequency to
high frequency step by step; the weight is initialized based on the
sample entropy, the trained weight is obtained through optimization in the
encoder and decoder network training process, and the predicted value of the
power load is obtained through weighted fusion. According to the method, adaptive
time sequence decomposition, a weight mechanism guided by
sample entropy and an attention-enhanced
encoder-decoder structure are introduced, so that multi-component collaborative modeling and cross-scale
dynamic prediction are realized, and the prediction accuracy and stability in complex load data and
small sample scenes are effectively improved.