The invention discloses a method for predicting the service life of a
relay for an operating
mechanism based on a grey theoretical model, and relates to the technical field of a
relay for a high-
voltage circuit breaker operating mechanism of a power
system, and the method comprises the following steps: simulating a salt mist
aging test parameter test
system through an electromagnetic
relay, and simulating the operation environment of the relay for the operating mechanism; an alternating
salt spray test is carried out, and characteristic parameters of the relay are extracted; performing dimension reduction
processing on the characteristic parameters of the relay by using a
principal component analysis method, and extracting digital characteristics of the characteristic parameters; on the basis of the digital characteristics of the characteristic parameters, the characteristic parameter with the maximum
discriminant function value is selected by utilizing Fisher
discriminant criteria; and taking the characteristic parameter with the maximum
discrimination function value as a prediction variable, constructing a gray theoretical model, predicting the service life of the relay, and completing the service life prediction of the relay for the operating
mechanism based on the gray theoretical model. The problem that the existing relay life prediction precision is low is solved.