This invention discloses a method for estimating
voltage and frequency deviations in microgrids for different scenarios, comprising: collecting
voltage, current, power, and
frequency data; performing coordinate transformation and filtering to obtain
system time-series characteristic data; extracting
power injection load response and frequency-
voltage coupling state, constructing a disturbance-free reference evolution process, and generating a counterfactual reference trajectory; constructing a synchronization envelope, identifying deviance, crossing, and regression segments, and generating the original frequency and voltage deviation; inputting the improved AGCRN network to form a disturbance
backtracking chain and extracting structural deviation components; determining the operational deviation based on the original deviation and structural deviation, constructing a
recovery evolution
fingerprint, and generating a deviation correction; fusing the original deviation, structural deviation, operational deviation, and correction, performing continuity correction, and outputting the final frequency and voltage deviation. This invention achieves
accurate estimation of
microgrid voltage and frequency deviations by constructing a counterfactual reference trajectory, improving AGCRN topology modeling, and correcting with a
recovery evolution
fingerprint.