The invention discloses an auroral oval boundary position prediction method based on interplanetary and geomagnetic parameters.
Estimation is performed on geomagnetic
latitude of auroral oval boundaries in the
equator direction and the pole direction at all magnetic places according to interplanetary and geomagnetic environment, and the method can be used in prediction for an auroral oval boundary position in
space weather research. The method comprises the following achieving steps: (1) UVI image pre-
processing, (2) automatic division of the auroral oval boundaries, (3) obtaining of the interplanetary and geomagnetic parameters, (4) construction of a
data set, (5) regression modeling, (6) prediction of the auroral oval boundary position, and (7) evaluation of a prediction result. According to the experiment result, the method can predict the auroral oval boundary position at an about 1.7MLAT average absolute error in a relatively accurate manner, and the method has great practical value in the
space weather prediction aspect.