The invention relates to the technical field of pipeline monitoring, and discloses a
petroleum pipeline explosion early warning method based on a risk prediction model, and the method comprises the following steps: collecting multi-mode operation state data along a
petroleum pipeline; constructing a unified space-time
tensor model; dynamically decomposing the
tensor to extract
potential risk factors; based on the risk factors, adopting a
quantum heuristic optimization
algorithm to optimize hyper-parameters of the prediction model; local training and global parameter aggregation of the model are carried out through transfer learning and
federated learning mechanisms; outputting a pipeline risk
score by using the
global model, and comparing the pipeline risk
score with a preset threshold to judge whether to trigger
pipe explosion early warning; and dynamically updating the model structure and parameters according to the real-
time data and the early warning result. According to the method, the multi-
modal space-time
tensor is constructed, and the dynamic
tensor decomposition technology is introduced, so that the structured modeling of the high-dimensional
petroleum pipeline
monitoring data and the real-time extraction of
key factors are successfully realized, and the
perception capability of the model on the
time sequence mutation and the space anomaly is enhanced.