The present application relates to the technical field of
precipitation forecast, solves the problem that the prior art is prone to underestimate the
peak value of
precipitation or produce
false alarm under strong convective weather, and particularly relates to a short-impending
precipitation forecast method fusing GNSS and water conservancy rain measurement
radar, GNSS
observation data and water conservancy rain measurement
radar base data in a monitoring area are acquired, pretreated, corresponding atmospheric precipitable water distribution field and
radar reflectivity factor distribution field are generated, based on a preset time sliding window,
time sequence characteristics of the atmospheric precipitable water distribution field and the
radar reflectivity factor distribution field are extracted, and the two are superimposed in channel dimension to construct a multi-channel spatio-temporal fusion input
tensor. The present application overcomes the defect that the traditional extrapolation method rapidly decays with the
prolongation of the forecast time, significantly improves the prediction accuracy of the rainstorm center intensity and the falling area, reduces the missed report and underestimation of the precipitation event, and solves the problem of low prediction accuracy of the traditional linear extrapolation
algorithm under strong convective weather.