The invention provides a crowd test process-based automatic prediction method for crowd test task closing time, which comprises the steps of monitoring a crowd test process, and collecting a crowd test report according to a time sequence; automatically evaluating term coverage required by a public test task, and judging whether the term coverage meets a set threshold value or not; taking the specific number of public test reports as an incremental sampling group; automatically detecting the repeatability between the public test reports; based on repeatability among the public test reports, obtaining a defect arrival trend taking an incremental sampling group as a unit, predicting the number of defects contained in tested software by adopting a capture-recapture method, if the number of discovered defects is the same as the number of predicted defects and the term coverage degree is met, taking the current time as the closing time of the task, and otherwise, continuing to monitor the public test process. The crowd testing process is monitored in real time, and the proper crowd testing task closing time is predicted, so that the testing sufficiency is ensured, and the crowd testingcost can be reduced.