244 results about "Causal model" patented technology

The invention belongs to the technical field of data analysis, and provides a multi-source operation and maintenance data anomaly analysis method and device, equipment, a medium and a product, the method comprises the steps that multi-source operation and maintenance data is acquired, and the multi-source operation and maintenance data comprises at least two of index time sequence data, application logs, call link tracking data, configuration change records, alarm events and work orders; carrying out joint anomaly modeling on the preprocessed multi-source operation and maintenance data based on a multi-model fusion architecture to identify an abnormal event in the multi-source operation and maintenance data; based on the operation and maintenance knowledge graph and the structured causal model, fault influence path tracing and root cause positioning are carried out on the abnormal event, a root cause analysis result is obtained, and the root cause analysis result is used for indicating a fault root cause node and a fault propagation path in the abnormal event. Therefore, the accuracy of anomaly analysis of the multi-source operation and maintenance data is remarkably improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of power system measurement, and discloses a current transformer error dynamic monitoring method and system.The current transformer error dynamic monitoring method comprises the steps that current transformer time sequence data and a system event log are obtained; constructing a time sequence causal graph to represent the time correlation between the event and the error change; identifying potential causal links by applying a counter causal model; designing a multi-world simulation engine to generate an anti-fact scene; quantifying a causal effect by comparing actual observation with an anti-fact simulation result; establishing a monitoring mechanism to track key trigger events in real time; generating a dynamic causal interpretation report and adjusting a compensation strategy; according to the method, the limitation of traditional correlation analysis is broken through, the causal relationship and the correlation can be accurately distinguished, the real triggering factor of the error change of the current transformer can be accurately identified, the false alarm rate and the missing report rate are reduced, and the accurate dynamic monitoring of the error of the current transformer is realized.

The invention discloses an aquaculture environment intelligent regulation and control method and system based on an AI model, and relates to the technical field of aquaculture management and control. The AI model-based aquaculture environment intelligent regulation and control method comprises the steps of S1, collecting water quality state data, feeding behavior data and meteorological data in an aquaculture environment, preprocessing and storing the data, and then constructing an aquaculture regulation and control management database; s2, constructing a water body state time sequence causal model based on the multi-source time sequence data, and outputting a causal connection structure; s3, performing prediction and risk assessment on water quality evolution under different feeding schemes through multivariable time series and causal coupling; s4, analyzing a feeding scheme target based on the feeding decision amount, the water quality risk and the growth income; and S5, continuously correcting the causal relationship and the feeding strategy through feeding execution feedback. The problems that the bidirectional coupling relation between the feeding behavior and the water quality feedback is not clear, and the feeding decision and the water quality risk are difficult to cooperatively regulate and control are solved.

The invention discloses a management decision-making method and system based on a knowledge base construction technology. The method comprises the following steps: performing sequential relationship extraction on multi-source financial data to obtain a sequential relationship set related to query content; constructing an event-entity incidence matrix corresponding to the time sequence relation set; according to the time sequence relation set and the event-entity incidence matrix, constructing a dynamic knowledge graph; determining causal effect parameters in the causal graph structure by adopting a dual machine learning model; constructing a structural causal model according to the causal graph structure and the causal effect parameters; and generating an anti-fact prediction result by using the structural causal model, and generating a decision scheme corresponding to the query content based on the anti-fact prediction result. The technical problem that decision information including accurate causal basis and prospective simulation information cannot be generated due to the fact that the causal relationship between financial data is difficult to determine and the intervention effect cannot be dynamically deduced in a related management decision method is solved.

The invention relates to an industrial internet multilayer causal motif abnormal propagation path identification method and system, and the method comprises the steps: firstly carrying out the construction and extraction of a multilayer high-order motif, extracting a motif unit which expresses the local high-order structure features through the construction of a semantic hierarchical graph structure in combination with a frequent sub-graph mining and cross-layer motif alignment mechanism, and carrying out the recognition of the abnormal propagation path of the multilayer causal motif. Stable and uniform multi-layer motif representation is formed; then, on the basis of the structural equation model, motif variables are regarded as endogenous variables of a causal model, a causal path between motifs is mined by introducing conditional mutual information and a Bayesian structure learning algorithm, an average causal effect is calculated to construct a causal consistency matrix, and causal community division is realized in combination with a weighted modularity optimization method; and finally, quantifying the dynamic change of a community causal structure by constructing a causal deviation graph between an expected causal graph and an observed causal graph, and assisting in identifying a causal-driven abnormal propagation path. According to the method and the system, accurate detection and causal traceability of equipment-level and subsystem-level abnormal modes in an industrial system can be realized.

The invention discloses a bamboo industry-oriented AI intelligent production service management cloud platform and system, and the platform comprises the following steps: a data collection module which is used for collecting multi-source heterogeneous data, and constructing a process behavior sequence and a state variable sequence; the causal modeling module is used for executing a causal migration focusing algorithm to construct a causal influence map and identifying a key variable sequence; the time sequence modeling module is used for jointly inputting the process behavior sequence and the key variable sequence into a Jamba model and outputting key control parameters and process control path suggestions; the causal evaluation module is used for outputting a path causal credibility score; the optimization rerouting module is used for triggering an expert sub-network rerouting mechanism and generating an optimized process control path suggestion; and the process execution control module is used for suggesting to execute the processing operation of each process link of the bamboo according to the optimized process control path. According to the method, causal modeling and the Jamba model are combined, so that accurate control and production service management of the bamboo wood process are realized.

The invention relates to the technical field of artificial intelligence, and discloses a reinforcement learning decision optimization method, system and device based on a causal large language model, and the method comprises the following steps: initializing an intelligent agent and a strategy network thereof; obtaining track information of a historical sequence decision generated by interaction; extracting causal variables from the trajectory information by adopting a large language model, and constructing a structural causal model; obtaining an agent strategy-driven causal intervention mechanism, and dynamically correcting a causal relationship in the structural causal model; according to a task-related causal chain extracted from the corrected structural causal model, generating a semantic sub-target corresponding to a causal relationship; designing a multi-modal reward function fused with semantic similarity; and updating the strategy network by adopting the obtained sub-targets and rewards. According to the method, the problems of low learning efficiency, insufficient adaptability and lack of effective reasoning ability of the reinforcement learning agent in a complex environment in the prior art are solved, and the method has the characteristic of high decision-making efficiency in a dynamic environment.

The invention discloses a substation operation and maintenance task risk digital assessment method and system, and belongs to the technical field of task risk digital assessment, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the hidden risk dominant modeling based on the structural data of a data lake, generating a personnel and equipment dynamic coupling risk coefficient, and carrying out the hidden risk dominant modeling; the space-time diagram neural network captures a personnel-equipment-environment coupling relationship by fusing spatial topology and time sequence features, the model can be associated with a historical fault mode of adjacent equipment, potential risks are identified in advance, and the causal model can identify the potential risks in advance by calculating causal strength between nodes and revealing hidden risk driving factors. The attention weight mechanism dynamically adjusts the fusion proportion of the space and time features, the method adapts to the complex scene of the transformer substation, the dynamic coupling risk coefficient is combined with the frequency and similarity of the historical accident library, the risk weight is quantified, and the probability of artificial misjudgment is reduced.

Methods and systems for identifying poisoned training data used for training artificial intelligence (AI) models are disclosed. To identify poisoned training data in a proposed training dataset, a causal model may be obtained. The causal model may include relationships relating data elements. The proposed training dataset may be identified as poisoned when data elements within the proposed training dataset do not satisfy the relationships set forth by the causal model. When the identification of poisoned training data is made, the AI model may not be updated using the proposed training dataset and the proposed training dataset may be discarded. If poisoned training data is not identified prior to training an AI model, methods and systems are disclosed for the remediation of the poisoned training dataset and subsequent tainted AI models. By doing so, the effect of poisoned training data may be prevented and / or efficiently computationally mitigated.

The invention discloses a multi-user-oriented smart home resource conflict negotiation and allocation method, which comprises the following steps of: detecting equipment use conflicts caused by at least two users by constructing a structural causal model for representing a causal relationship of a plurality of variables in a smart home environment, generating a candidate decision strategy set comprising resource isolation and alternative compensation, and allocating the candidate decision strategy set to the smart home environment; carrying out anti-fact inference by utilizing a causal model, quantifying the causal effect of each strategy on the user state, and selecting an optimal strategy for execution based on a minimum negative effect and a Pareto optimal principle; besides, the method ensures that the system dynamically adapts to user habit changes through online monitoring of prediction errors and correction of the causal model, and compared with the prior art, the method improves the decision accuracy through causal reasoning, realizes fair and personalized user resource allocation, and improves the user experience and long-term effectiveness of the smart home system.

The invention discloses a driving mechanism analysis method of reservoir group scheduling for flood non-consistent evolution, which comprises the following steps: acquiring a smooth reservoir entering flood sequence by utilizing a topologically coupled physical manifold constraint denoising model, and constructing dynamic topological characteristics representing propagation time lag and sensitivity through a hydraulic propagation mechanism-based Figure ordinary differential equation; constructing a structural causal model comprising a scheduling capability index, ectogenic hydrological driving and topological characteristics, and fitting a nonlinear dependency relationship by using a causal generalized additive model; executing anti-fact inference, and calculating a local causal driving index and a global causal cumulative effect index through a dry budget; and generating an optimal scheduling strategy for suppressing variation based on the causal index. According to the method, systematic analysis from data physical restoration to causal mechanism decoupling can be realized, the driving contribution of a scheduling behavior to flood inconsistency is accurately quantified, and decision support is provided for scientific flood control of a drainage basin.

The invention provides a pollutant traceability method, system and device based on multiple media and multiple links and a medium, and belongs to the technical field of target area pollution abatement, and the method comprises the steps: preprocessing pollutant monitoring data to obtain a standardized data set; the pollutant monitoring data comprises data of pollutants in a plurality of links and a plurality of media in a target area, and the standardized data set comprises a plurality of standardized data; based on the standardized data set, main characteristic components representing pollutant distribution and evolution rules are extracted; constructing a transfer coupling relation model based on the main characteristic components, and obtaining a transfer path and a coupling strength coefficient of the pollutants according to the transfer coupling relation model; based on the transmission path and the coupling strength coefficient, constructing a causal model and carrying out joint verification; and when the verification is passed, outputting a pollution traceability result. According to the invention, the scientificity, the accuracy and the decision support reliability of mine pollution traceability are obviously improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of ecological remote sensing and image processing, and particularly discloses a method and system for monitoring the ecological restoration state of thinopyrum intermediary grassland in an alpine region. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring a multi-temporal remote sensing image and ground ecological parameters, and constructing a remote sensing-ground combined observation data set; utilizing a semantic segmentation model of a multi-scale attention mechanism to extract a thinopyrum intermedium block mask; vegetation indexes, texture features and ecological factors are extracted from the mask region to construct a multi-dimensional feature sequence; inputting the feature sequence and manual intervention information into a training factor interaction model in a graph neural network and causal modeling architecture, and outputting a repair level and evolution data according to the training factor interaction model; and generating a visual layer in combination with historical data, and updating a remote sensing feature extraction strategy based on model feedback. The alpine grassland ecological restoration state monitoring system realizes intelligent monitoring and dynamic feedback of the alpine grassland ecological restoration state, has strong timeliness, clear causality and adaptive optimization capability, and is suitable for continuous monitoring and management of a complex ecological system.

The invention relates to the technical field of medical data analysis and business intelligence, and discloses a hospital pharmacy competitiveness evaluation method and system based on multi-source data fusion, and the method comprises the following steps: collecting and processing multi-source data, and constructing a market entity feature vector; constructing an initial market causal atlas based on the feature vectors; initializing a digital twinning environment, and setting a dynamic behavior rule of a simulation entity; running simulation to obtain a reference competitiveness evolution trajectory; real data is periodically acquired to calculate simulation deviation; and if the deviation is greater than a preset threshold value, correcting the causal atlas and updating the simulation entity rule. The system comprises a data processing and feature construction module; a market causal relationship graph construction module; a market digital twin environment initialization module; a competitiveness evolution simulation module; a simulation reality deviation calculation module; and a causal atlas correction module. According to the method, the dynamic causal model is constructed by fusing multi-source data, so that accurate and prospective competitiveness evaluation is realized.

The invention provides an AI-based trachinotus ovatus juvenile fish culture water parasite prediction and prevention method and system, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-source data from a culture water body through a sensor array, including a nucleic acid signal, a fish school behavior track and an environment parameter sequence, and obtaining an original data set; unifying the data format and the acquisition frequency according to the original data set by adopting a time sequence alignment method, and obtaining an aligned feature flow; aiming at the aligned feature flow, applying a convolutional neural network to extract a space-time pattern of a nucleic acid signal and an abnormal index of a fish school behavior, and determining an extracted feature set; if the abnormal index in the extracted feature set exceeds a preset threshold value, a causal association between environmental parameters and parasitic risks is classified through a support vector machine, and a preliminary risk level is judged; simulating a water body change scene according to the comprehensive causal model to obtain a predicted trajectory of parasite propagation; and determining a quantitative score of the parasite risk and generating a prevention and control instruction sequence by comparing the predicted trajectory with the real-time monitoring data.

The invention provides a titanium tetrachloride boiling chlorination process optimization method based on a causal model and electronic equipment, and the method comprises the steps: constructing a generation mechanism between structural equation model expression variables based on the causal relationship between boiling chlorination key process parameters and result variables; the effect of external intervention on the TiCl4 yield and unit cost is simulated through causal inference, and a multi-target optimization model with the minimization of the unit product manufacturing cost and the maximization of the TiCl4 yield as targets is constructed in combination with the structural model and Monte Carlo sampling estimation expectation; and iteratively solving the optimization model by adopting a causal-based non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm, and obtaining a Pareto optimal solution set meeting variable constraint conditions through operations such as causal variable classification, dynamic penalty weighting, non-dominated sorting and sensitive driving disturbance. According to the method, a causal modeling and optimization integrated framework suitable for the boiling chlorination process is constructed, personalized process strategy generation and production operation decision making are supported, and the raw material utilization rate and the process operation economy are improved.

The invention relates to a weight loss intervention method and device for chronic renal failure and obesity patients based on an individualized prescription. The method comprises the following steps: constructing a multi-modal dynamic time sequence feature vector of a patient; identifying and quantifying potential causal effects of different weight loss intervention measures on physiological outcomes of renal functions, electrolyte balance, anemia states, bone mineral metabolism and weight indexes of the CKD patient according to a dual robust estimator; dynamically constructing a weight loss intervention measure causal model according to the potential causal effect of the physiological outcome of each patient and the physiological and pathological background; and inputting the multi-modal dynamic time sequence feature vector of the patient into a weight loss intervention measure causal model, and generating a daily diet scheme, an exercise scheme and corresponding high-confidence risk early warning and causal explanation of the patient. The method overcomes the limitation that the traditional method only pays attention to correlation and cannot clearly determine the intervention effect, ensures that the causal atlas and the intervention scheme are optimized according to the real-time change state of the patient, and realizes a real dynamic prescription.

The invention relates to the technical field of intelligent wharfs, in particular to a wharf container truck dynamic optimization scheduling method and system combining machine learning and path planning. Comprising a behavior data acquisition and feature coupling unit; a learnable incentive and behavior guide unit; a scheduling demand prediction unit; and a path planning and scheduling unit. According to the method, on the basis of the coupling characteristics, the excitation coefficient is optimized through reinforcement learning, the excitation instruction is dynamically pushed, and targeted guidance of the non-operation staying behavior of the container truck is achieved; according to the method, based on standardized time series data, an association rule of a historical staying period and a working condition is learned through an LSTM model, a prediction result is optimized in combination with real-time data, a prospective constraint basis is provided for scheduling, and meanwhile, a time, space, resource and priority multi-dimensional path constraint system is constructed through a structural causal model; container truck-berth matching and dynamic path planning are completed by matching with an improved A * algorithm fused with dynamic weights, and scheduling conflicts are effectively avoided.

The invention belongs to the technical field of network scheduling, discloses an intelligent network scheduling method and system based on hybrid reinforcement learning, designs a multi-head attention strategy network based on Transform, can execute discrete protocol selection and continuous rate adjustment at the same time, and breaks through the limitation of a traditional scheduling model on action dimension division. Therefore, the scheduler can flexibly select the optimal strategy when facing a complex task, and the refinement and adaptability of the decision are remarkably improved. In order to overcome the problem of value over-estimation in reinforcement learning, a double-Q-Critic network structure is constructed, and double evaluation paths are introduced. In the training process, through minimizing the estimation value deviation of the two Critic values, the overhigh estimation is effectively inhibited, so that the convergence stability and the estimation value precision of the strategy are improved. In the reward mechanism, a structural causal model (SCM) is introduced to generate an anti-factual reward signal, and a real reward and an anti-factual reward are fused by constructing a causal intervention path for a specific action.

The invention relates to the technical field of medical informatics, in particular to a method for determining a drug code, which comprises the following steps of: acquiring a specification text, a chemical structure, an active component and target information, and integrating into task input; respectively extracting a molecular topological vector and a semantic topological vector based on topological coherence, injecting the molecular topological vector and the semantic topological vector into a sparse high-dimensional super-vector, and mapping the sparse high-dimensional super-vector into a continuous vector through binding transformation; generating a preliminary code by using a generative neural network combining diffusion denoising and a converter, and calculating a super-dimensional residual error; constructing a causal model in the pharmacological knowledge graph, and outputting a correction code after residual error calibration; the joint probability variance is evaluated through Monte Carlo discarding, and automatic confirmation, manual recheck or anti-fact search are realized through two-stage threshold values; and writing the combined super vector, the final code and the variance into an experience library, and optimizing the generation network and the causal model at the same time by using a hierarchical Bayesian near-end strategy. According to the invention, the extrapolation capability and interpretability of new drugs are considered, the coding accuracy is obviously improved, and the labor cost is reduced.

The invention discloses a big-data-based silicon carbide polishing effect analysis method and system, and relates to the technical field of silicon carbide polishing effect analysis. Polishing equipment parameters, wafer attribute information and post-polishing image data are collected, formats and structures are unified for modeling, a multi-dimensional wafer data set is constructed, a data structure is associated, image defects are identified and quantified, and the polishing effect of silicon carbide is analyzed. The method comprises the following steps: fusing polishing parameters, wafer attributes and image data, extracting defect parameters to generate defect fingerprint vectors, establishing a prediction model between the parameters and defects, mining key process variables and causal paths, clustering batches, constructing a causal model, positioning abnormal root causes and quantifying parameter deviation. According to the method, mapping and causal paths between process parameters and defects are established, batch clustering and abnormal root cause positioning are realized, traceable optimization parameter suggestions are generated, a polishing quality intelligent closed-loop regulation and control system is formed, and wafer defect identification precision and process adjustment efficiency are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of fault prediction and health management, and discloses a pump station equipment risk intelligent prediction method based on big data analysis, and the method comprises the steps: collecting equipment operation and environment data; a hybrid intelligent causal analysis model for automatic screening is constructed to obtain correlation characteristics among equipment parameters; constructing a risk analysis model which combines graph topology analysis and time sequence characteristics and is calibrated by environmental data, and outputting a systematic operation risk index and a dynamic critical value; and constructing a long-time-sequence prediction model, carrying out long-term trend pre-judgment on the risk index, calling a causal model to carry out root cause tracing when the predicted risk reaches a critical value, and generating a prevention management scheme containing a clear early warning level and a specific resource demand. According to the method, the whole-process intelligentization from unified risk assessment and accurate prediction to closed-loop decision support is realized.

The invention relates to the field of internet security, and discloses a big data risk early warning and evaluation method based on artificial intelligence, comprising the following steps: step S1, collecting original security data from a heterogeneous data source; s2, constructing a global causal model; s3, constructing and evolving an event causal evolution diagram so as to establish directed edges with weights among the nodes; s4, dynamically evaluating the ability level of the attacker; s5, performing adversarial intention projection; s6, calculating a dynamic risk score; and generating an early warning when the score exceeds an early warning threshold. According to the method, asymmetric information flows among event types are quantified through transfer entropy, and a context evidence fusion mechanism is combined, so that a real causal relationship and a simple statistical correlation can be distinguished; the defect that a high false alarm rate is easily generated based on rule or simple threshold matching is overcome, so that the event causal evolution diagram can accurately reflect the internal logic and time sequence characteristics of an attack behavior, and the accuracy of complex threat perception is improved.

The invention relates to the field of multi-agent reinforcement learning, and discloses a reinforcement learning method based on causal reasoning and a hierarchical attention mechanism, which makes up the defects of inaccurate role allocation and low cooperation efficiency in a traditional multi-agent system and improves the overall cooperation performance. According to the method, a causal perception multi-agent cooperation model is constructed, firstly, a dynamic causal graph is constructed by using a structural causal model, and a causal influence vector between agents is calculated by using an optimized variational distribution estimator; then generating a causal-guided hierarchical attention weight based on a causal influence vector; then cooperative information transmission is realized through a cross-agent attention sharing mechanism, and enhanced feature representation is generated by using a cross-layer fusion mechanism; a causal perception role selector is further designed based on the global causal contribution degree and the local causal contribution degree, and dynamic allocation of agent roles is achieved; and finally, performing model training optimization through a causal influence internal reward mechanism.

The invention discloses a dynamically changing campus environment safety monitoring system and method, and relates to the technical field of intelligent campus monitoring, and the method comprises the steps: fusing a campus function map and a real-time data flow of a multi-region sensor through a graph neural network, and generating a dynamic weight instruction driven by a scene adaptation degree; constructing a structural causal model based on the dynamic weight instruction to determine causal association strength between the environmental parameters and the equipment state; the causal association strength is used as a condition to be input into the generation model, and an anti-fact risk trajectory conforming to the campus physical law is output; and fusing the anti-fact risk trajectory and the real-time data stream, and constructing a virtual task set to drive the cross-cycle migration optimization of the security monitoring model.

According to an embodiment, an information processing device includes one or more hardware processors configured to: generate a plurality of exogenous noise estimation values corresponding to a plurality of variables for each of one or more pieces of record data, based on a pre-update model being a structural causal model representing a causal relationship of the plurality of variables; determine whether a causal relationship of the plurality of variables represented by the one or more pieces of record data is different from the causal relationship represented by the pre-update model, based on independence between any two or more variables in the plurality of exogenous noise estimation values with respect to each of the one or more pieces of record data; and generate a post-update model being the structural causal model based on the one or more pieces of record data when determining that the causal relationships are different.

The invention relates to the technical field of data intelligence and industrial internet, in particular to a multi-source data mining method, which comprises the following steps of: receiving multi-source business data, uniformly modeling and aligning according to a semantic contract, generating an event stream and a business graph and forming windowed data; extracting a multi-scale structure feature and a time sequence feature, and implementing cross-environment alignment to obtain a robust representation vector; constructing a structural causal model, calculating a signal sequential logic satisfaction degree, obtaining a violation relaxation vector, a shortest violation path and a minimum responsibility set, and generating an action sequence and an anti-factual benefit; and fusing multi-source evidences to obtain a posterior probability, combining a cost matrix and a time risk model to determine a trigger condition and an intervention time point, and outputting a disposal suggestion and an evidence collection package.

The invention discloses a causal modeling-based remote sensing instance segmentation method, which comprises the following steps of: explicitly describing a causal relationship among a target, a context and a segmentation mask by establishing a structural causal model (SCM); causal intervention is simulated through a local object transformation module, and the confusion influence of non-causal variables is eliminated; a large segmentation model (SAM) is guided to pay attention to causal correlation features in a model training stage through attention invariance constraint, so that a more accurate image segmentation result is realized. In the invention, causal interpretation is strong: a structural causal model is introduced into a remote sensing segmentation task for the first time; eliminating non-causal interference: simulating causal interference through a local object transformation module, and weakening the influence of false correlation factors such as background and appearance; improving feature consistency: ensuring that the attention of the model is consistent with the same object in different environments through attention invariance constraint; generalization ability is enhanced, the method is obviously superior to a mainstream method on various remote sensing data sets, and average segmentation precision is improved by 3%-5%.

The invention provides a real estate data visualization display method and system based on a GIS technology, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the collection, cleaning, standardized mapping and entity alignment of multi-source real estate data, such as registration, transaction, planning approval, judicial, tax, sensing terminals, remote sensing images, and the like, building a space-time joint index with a space unit ID and a time slice ID as main keys, extracting a feature set and a target attribute set for modeling; constructing a structured causal model in the space-time database, and establishing a causal query index through a structure learning algorithm and parameter training; receiving the scene parameter set, analyzing the scene parameter set into an intervention instruction, executing a do-intervention operation on a causal model, collecting user interaction behaviors and external observation data, triggering online calibration of the model and a mapping rule when an error exceeds a threshold value, updating a causal query index and a mapping threshold value, and supporting version rollback; and a data, model, display and feedback closed-loop link is formed.

The invention provides a dynamic evaluation method and system for aquaculture capacity, and relates to the technical field of data processing, and the method comprises the steps: generating a plurality of state evolution tracks in a future preset time window according to a dynamic causal fingerprint; solving a feasible solution set of breeding density regulation and control based on disease probability and death rate distribution predicted by the state evolution trajectory; performing dynamic calibration and prediction deviation correction on the state evolution trajectory according to the latest monitoring data flow obtained in real time to obtain a calibrated result; updating a preset structure causal model by using a calibrated result to obtain a culture density regulation feasible solution set; the feasible solution set is regulated and controlled according to the breeding density, and the breeding capacity dynamic adjustment amount recommended to be executed is screened and output. Real-time monitoring data can be deeply fused, the capacity of anti-fact deduction and dynamic calibration is achieved, and accurate and self-adaptive dynamic evaluation of the breeding capacity can be achieved.