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61 results about "Causal model" patented technology

In philosophy of science, a causal model (or structural causal model) is a conceptual model that describes the causal mechanisms of a system. Causal models can improve study designs by providing clear rules for deciding which independent variables need to be included/controlled for.

Data-driven complex system mechanism automatic learning method, system and equipment

The invention belongs to the field of big data and machine learning, particularly relates to a data-driven complex system mechanism automatic learning method, a system and equipment, and aims to solve the problems that an existing system modeling technology is difficult to predict a behavior trend from field observation data, a reconstructed mechanism model is not matched with physical observation data, the robustness is poor and the like. The method comprises the steps of obtaining historical multi-modal data and real-time multi-modal data, constructing a time sequence long-range correlation hypergraph model through airspace circulation memory coding, performing normalized combination on the hypergraph model through a neural differential equation model, and performing automatic iterative search on a continuous game network structure to obtain a system mechanism continuous dynamic model, and performing biological evolution simulation to obtain a causal model, and recalculating an association weight to obtain an active early warning system. According to the method, non-linearity, emergence, balance step, adaptability and special property description of a feedback loop of a complex system are realized, and the prediction accuracy of the model is improved.
Owner:INST OF AUTOMATION CHINESE ACAD OF SCI

Brain link mining system based on document analysis and functional nuclear magnetic resonance imaging analysis

The invention relates to a brain link mining system and method based on document analysis and functional nuclear magnetic resonance imaging analysis, and belongs to the fields of computer technologies and cognitive neuroscience technologies. The system comprises a dynamic causal model module, an activation analysis module, a document link analysis module, a seeking sub-network module, a document database and a brain network link database. The method comprises the steps of firstly, by calculating the activated probabilities of all brain coordinates in all documents, figuring out the activated probabilities of corresponding anatomical areas to obtain activated brain areas, mining modes which frequently appear in the brain areas through the association rules algorithm, calculating confidence coefficients to obtain a trusted brain function network, establishing the corresponding documents to generate a brain network database, then collecting corresponding functional nuclear magnetic resonance imaging data by utilizing a functional nuclear magnetic resonance imaging system, and verifying the actual link direction and weight numbers of a network edge by utilizing the dynamic causal model module. In this way, the problem that calculating is overlong in time and low in accuracy in the brain link analysis process is solved.
Owner:BEIJING INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGYGY

Method for generating big data causal model in corresponding power grid operation environment

The invention relates to a method for generating a big data causal model in a corresponding power grid operation environment, and belongs to the technical field of power grid automatic scheduling. Themethod comprises the following steps: 1) obtaining a correlation factor set of events occurring in the operation process of current power grid equipment; 2) screening out high-probability associationfactors of which the correlation with the event is greater than a preset value from the association factor set; 3) performing causal relationship detection on the high-probability association factorsand the events, and determining strong association factors; 4) generating a big data causal model by utilizing a Bayesian causal network and regulation big data based on the strong correlation factors; and 5) carrying out matching combination on the big data causal model and a preset experience model to generate a regulation and control business big data causal model of the current power grid equipment. By applying the method, the causal relationship between the defect event of the power grid equipment and each factor influencing the time can be intuitively reflected, so that an observer canquickly obtain the cause of the defect of the power grid equipment in an emergency situation.
Owner:JIANGSU ELECTRIC POWER CO +2

Nuclear power plant organization behavior reliability assessment method, device and equipment

The invention discloses a nuclear power plant organization behavior reliability assessment method, device and equipment. The method comprises the steps of obtaining an organization error causal modelobtained through scene environment analysis under a preset scene and behavior forming factors influencing organization behaviors in the model and a causal influence relation of the behavior forming factors; obtaining the state level of the behavior forming factor; according to a preset organization behavior reliability assessment model, obtaining a fault probability of the organization behavior tobe assessed by utilizing the state level so as to assess the reliability of the organization behavior, wherein the preset organization behavior reliability assessment model is a model containing corresponding relations between different state level levels of the behavior forming factors and organization behavior fault probabilities. Namely, the state grade level of the behavior forming factor isutilized, the error probability of the to-be-evaluated organization behavior is obtained according to the preset organization behavior reliability evaluation model, quantitative evaluation on the organization behavior reliability is achieved, and theoretical and data support is further provided for prevention of organization errors and risks.
Owner:NANHUA UNIV
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