The invention discloses an agricultural
electricity consumption prediction method and
system based on solar term segmentation, and the method comprises the following steps: segmenting solar terms; on the basis of
correlation analysis of a cause mechanism of agricultural production electric quantity and historical data, the following seven types of main characteristic variables are selected to construct a prediction model, regression modeling and parameter optimization, namely, a set of
multiple linear regression model and a solar section model calling and prediction process are independently established for a
data set of each solar section. According to the method, the whole year is divided into a plurality of solar sections based on solar change, the segmentation model is established in combination with the
power consumption mode of each stage, three types of characteristic variables of weather, economy and power are fused, modeling is performed by using the
multiple linear regression model, and the method has a clear application boundary, strong logic interpretation capability and good
small sample adaptability; the method can be widely deployed in agricultural main production areas, rural
power grid dispatching centers, power transaction agent platforms and other scenes, and the electric quantity prediction precision and agent power purchase market benefits are improved.