The invention discloses a cross-
modal causal
coupling water supply network
cascade failure deduction method and
system, and relates to the field of safety prevention and control of
urban water supply networks. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, constructing a
water supply network heterogeneous graph, abstracting physical
pipe sections as core nodes, associating the
pipe sections as heterogeneous edges, and obtaining static and dynamic attributes of the heterogeneous edges; multi-source heterogeneous
data space-
time alignment is completed through an exclusive scale
adaptive coding layer, and a standardized
feature matrix is generated; taking the cross-
modal causal
directed acyclic graph as a hard constraint, and generating a
dynamic coupling adjacency matrix through a cross-
modal graph attention layer; dynamic weighted
coupling of multi-modal characteristics is realized through a space-time dynamic gating unit; finally,
cascade failure evolution is simulated based on the
coupling characteristics and the adjacent matrix, critical inflection points are recognized, and graded early warning signals are output. The method solves the problems of modeling
distortion, false correlation and inflection-point-free pre-judgment in the traditional technology, greatly improves the deduction precision and the
engineering credibility, and is suitable for safety prevention and control and emergency early warning of the
urban water supply
pipe network.