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31 results about "Regular conditional probability" patented technology

Regular conditional probability is a concept that has developed to overcome certain difficulties in formally defining conditional probabilities for continuous probability distributions. It is defined as an alternative probability measure conditioned on a particular value of a random variable.

Frequency modulation capacity time-sharing optimization method based on conditional probability

The invention provides a frequency modulation capacity time-sharing optimization method based on conditional probability, and belongs to the field of power system automatic power generation control of. The method comprises the steps of firstly collecting the historical data of an AGC control area, and screening a sample composed of the historical data according to an AGC assessment period; constructing and training an extreme learning machine model predicted by a net load standard deviation section to obtain a trained extreme learning machine model; in an application phase, outputting, by the trained extreme learning machine model, the net load standard deviation section predicted values corresponding to the respective time periods on a certain day in the future, and according to the screened data of each AGC assessment period, calculating frequency modulation performance standard-reaching probabilities corresponding to the up-regulation capacity and the down-regulation capacity of the prediction time period, and obtaining the up-regulation reserve capacity optimization result and the down-regulation capacity reserve capacity optimization result of this time period. The method can correct the calculation result of a frequency modulation capacity demand according to a frequency modulation score, and the obtained result can truly reflect the frequency modulation capacity demand of a power system.
Owner:TSINGHUA UNIV +2

Friction noise prediction method based on Bayesian network

The invention provides a friction noise prediction method based on a Bayesian network. The friction noise prediction method comprises the following steps of 1, obtaining friction noise and a data sample which is associated with the friction noise; 2, performing discretization processing on the data sample obtained in the step 1; 3, performing Bayesian network learning, and establishing a Bayesian network structure chart; 4, updating conditional probability, under a corresponding father node, of each node in the Bayesian network structure chart according to a data sample set; and 5, performing prediction on the frequency and intensity of the friction noise according to the conditional probability obtained in the step 4. The friction noise prediction based on the Bayesian network, by virtue of organic combination of a directed acyclic graph and a probability theory, intuitively expresses joint probability among random variables, so that the friction noise prediction can be carried out by only processing the measured data without considering complex appearance of a sound source and various occurrence mechanisms; and therefore, the friction noise prediction method has relatively high prediction accuracy and reliability and is quite simple, convenient and quick.
Owner:UNIV OF SHANGHAI FOR SCI & TECH

Method for realizing LoRa gateway downlink specific duty ratio based on conditional probability

ActiveCN110392384ASolving Complex Coupling ProblemsMeet duty cycle requirementsHigh level techniquesMachine-to-machine/machine-type communication serviceRegular conditional probabilityThe Internet
The invention discloses a method for realizing a specific downlink duty ratio of a LoRa gateway based on conditional probability, and relates to LoRa of a low-power wide area network of the Internet of Things. The method comprises the following steps: 1) obtaining a saturation duty ratio according to initialization parameters; 2) judging whether the terminal actual uplink is successful or not, andif so, adding 1 to the uplink count; 3) judging whether the downlink of the gateway meets the probability p or not; 4) judging whether the gateway downlink is successful or not; 5) updating an uplinksuccess probability Psus and a duty ratio according to an actual system simulation result, and adjusting a probability p to obtain a desired duty ratio requirement; (6) repeating the steps (1)-(5) until the Psus converges to a certain stable value Ps'us; and (7) if the priority is not considered, determining that the probability p obtained in the step (6) is the final downlink transmission probability of the gateway, and if the priority is considered, obtaining data from terminals with different priorities in combination with the priority relationship of the users and the number of the users,and obtaining the conditional probability of downlink transmission of the gateway to each group of users, namely, obtaining the final downlink transmission probability of the gateway of each terminal.
Owner:XIAMEN UNIV
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