The application discloses a
watershed water and
sediment nitrogen and
phosphorus driving mechanism quantitative
analysis method, relates to the field of quantitative analysis, acquires target
watershed basic data and constructs a
SWAT model, calibrates and verifies the model;
climate change and
agricultural management scenarios are set, the temporal and spatial loss processes of the water and
sediment nitrogen and
phosphorus of the
watershed under different scenarios are simulated through the
SWAT model; a prediction model is constructed based on the
simulation results of the SWAT, and the influence degree of each driving factor on the loss of the water and
sediment nitrogen and
phosphorus is quantified in combination with the SHAP method; based on the
spatial distribution characteristics and the SHAP quantification results, high loss areas and key driving factors are identified, and a partitioned
management strategy is proposed. Through the comprehensive physical
process simulation capability of the
SWAT model, the nonlinear relationship capturing
advantage of the XGBoost model and the driving
mechanism analysis function of the SHAP method, systematic quantitative analysis of the driving mechanism of the loss of the water and sediment nitrogen and phosphorus of the watershed is realized, and scientific basis is provided for precise control and adaptive
strategy making of the watershed.