The application relates to the field of agricultural monitoring, and discloses a
crop yield per unit risk real-time monitoring and early warning method based on natural-economic
big data, which comprises the following steps: constructing a multi-dimensional monitoring and early warning index framework, collecting
natural state data and economic
signal data; performing space-time coordinate alignment and assimilation
processing on the multi-
source data, and unifying the data to daily and county-level scales; reversely calculating the actual
crop phenological phase based on the daily effective accumulated temperature, and activating corresponding monitoring variables; for the activated variables, calculating the standardized deviation of the observation values relative to the dynamic baseline of the historical same-period phenological phase, identifying
natural stress events and cost increase / revenue compression events, outputting composite stress signals through
logical combination rules; and weighting and synthesizing a yield risk early warning index and releasing a graded early warning. The application does not depend on fixed thresholds, realizes coaxial
coupling monitoring of nature and economy, has strong cross-regional self-adaptability, good early warning foresight, and the advantages of being capable of identifying composite risks.