The invention discloses a user load
curve analysis method and
system based on Bayesian nonparametric clustering and a time
covariance structure, and relates to the technical field of power
system data analysis, and the method comprises the steps: collecting intelligent electric meter data, and carrying out the preprocessing of the original intelligent electric meter data; calculating a
covariance matrix of the preprocessed data; calculating a
mahalanobis distance between the load curves based on the
covariance matrix; and constructing a distance dependent Chinese restaurant process model based on
mahalanobis distance, performing link allocation and clustering parameter
inference in combination with
Gibbs sampling, and performing adaptive clustering to obtain a user load
curve analysis result. According to the method, the problem of singularity of a
covariance matrix under a high-dimensional
small sample is solved by adopting Leidoit-Wolf shrinkage
estimation, complete
Bayesian inference is realized, the clustering number is adaptively determined, and manual intervention is not needed; while high clustering precision is maintained, calculation complexity is significantly reduced, and the method is suitable for large-scale actual data.