The invention discloses a method for tracing polluted
water quality of a water outlet of a park based on Bayesian reasoning, and belongs to the technical field of
data processing and management systems.The method comprises the steps that production management data of enterprises in the park is acquired to generate enterprise
pollution feature vectors, and the enterprise
pollution feature vectors are associated with enterprise geographic coordinates to construct a dynamic
pollution fingerprint database; and acquiring
water quality parameters of a water outlet monitoring point in real time, inputting the
water quality parameters into the
Bayesian probability model, calculating to obtain basic pollution probability distribution, calling the dynamic pollution
fingerprint database and the
pipe network topology coefficient to carry out space-time correction, generating a
traceability probability matrix, and determining and outputting a target pollution enterprise
list. According to the invention, production management data of an enterprise, real-time water
quality monitoring data of a water outlet and
pipe network physical constraint conditions are deeply fused, a probabilistic reasoning model is adopted for
intelligent decision making, accurate and efficient management and positioning of a pollution source can be realized, compliance evidences are automatically generated, and the method is suitable for large-scale popularization and application. Therefore, the efficiency and the intelligent level of park
environment management are improved.