The invention discloses a day-ahead multi-time scale probability scheduling method for a power
system based on joint chance constraint. The method comprises the following steps: 1, acquiring day-ahead predicted output data of a renewable power supply and a probability distribution parameter of output of the renewable power supply; 2, establishing a multi-time scale
electric power system day-ahead scheduling model, and introducing a joint opportunity constraint into the model to carry out
risk control on the
system; 3, equally dividing the
total risk probability, carrying out probability allocation on a single opportunity constraint, and solving an
optimization problem to obtain an initial solution; 4, iteratively adjusting opportunity constraint probability distribution by adopting a projection
gradient method so as to reduce the conservative property of a solution; 5, solving the
optimization problem again based on the updated opportunity constraint probability distribution scheme, and evaluating the overall risk of the system; and 6, if the
system risk level converges to a target value, outputting a final scheduling scheme, otherwise, continuing iteration. According to the method, the optimal allocation of the chance constraint
risk probability can be realized, so that a low-conservative scheduling scheme meeting the
system risk level can be obtained.