The invention relates to a method for predicting and controlling slab
continuous casting breakout, in particular to a method for preventing sticking breakout according to the temperature variation condition of a
thermocouple in a crystallizer in the process of slab
continuous casting. The method mainly aims at solving the technical problems that the existing various breakout
prediction methods can not compressively consider interference factors and can not predict small-scale sticking and
slag entrapment in time. The technical proposal of the invention is that the method for predicting and controlling the slab
continuous casting breakout comprises the step that lines of thermocouples are arranged on the crystallizer, and the method is characterized by comprising the following steps: a. capture of typical temperature characteristics: the typical temperature characteristics of each
thermocouple is determined according to the crystallizer parameters and the installment location of the crystallizer on the
thermocouple; b. determination of breakout probability: the breakout probability of each thermocouple is determined according to the typical temperature characteristics of the adjacent thermocouples as well as the characteristics of the breakout thermal conductance and abnormal temperature distribution; c. control of
casting speed: when the breakout probability of the thermocouples is up to 95%, the
casting is stopped. The method is mainly used for warning continuous
casting breakout.