The invention discloses an
interpretability visualization method and
system based on
chronic disease dynamic prediction, and belongs to the technical field of intelligent
medical treatment, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the distributed
processing, standardized storage, distributed
verification and undersampling of medical data, and obtaining a balanced
data set comprising effective samples; extracting a
disease tag of a previous time node from each patient as a feature, and performing feature importance evaluation by using a tree model to screen out an important feature subset; inputting the effective samples into a
chronic disease prediction model, calculating the marginal contribution of each important feature, and visualizing the marginal contribution into a force diagram for analyzing
single sample prediction logic; and calculating the interaction importance between every two features, screening feature interaction pairs, visualizing the feature interaction pairs into text rules and corresponding influence factors, and constructing the interaction pairs into new features for retraining the
chronic disease prediction model. According to the method, the
interpretability of the model in a chronic
disease prediction technology can be enhanced, and the transparency and
traceability of decision logic of a complex model are realized.