The invention provides a maintenance decision method and
system for predicting reliability of rotating equipment based on
dynamic monitoring, and the method comprises the steps: taking maintenance operation interval time as
operation time, analyzing a plurality of monitoring indexes of the rotating equipment based on the
operation time, and forming corresponding index
time sequence change data; determining an initial
failure rate by adopting a probability statistical distribution
algorithm according to the
operation time of the rotating equipment; determining a
fault rate function of the to-be-calculated
object based on the proportional
risk model, and calculating
fault rate thresholds corresponding to different state information of different to-be-calculated objects; obtaining an index prediction value based on a long-short-
term memory neural network
algorithm, and further obtaining a
state function prediction value; and judging the relationship between the
state function predicted value and the fault
threshold curve to formulate a corresponding operation and maintenance scheme. By the adoption of the scheme, the defects that in the prior art, analysis elements are single, and calculation result accuracy and dynamic characterization characteristics are insufficient can be overcome, and the reliability change condition of the rotating equipment can be monitored and predicted efficiently and flexibly.