The present disclosure provides a
new energy station power prediction method and
system based on longitudinal federal
decision tree, relates to the field of
federated learning and
information security technology, and comprises the following steps: acquiring real-time environmental characteristic data; inputting the environmental characteristic data into a
power load prediction model to output a predicted power value; wherein the
power load prediction model is a longitudinal federal
decision tree model, and the training process of the longitudinal federal
decision tree model comprises the following steps: each participant generates a key and a
hyperparameter for each column of characteristics according to a security requirement, generates a random topological mapping for each column of characteristics, constructs a nonlinear
conversion function based on each mapping relationship, encrypts the data in a
cascade manner using the generated nonlinear
conversion function and a lightweight order-preserving
encryption, concentrates the encrypted data in a coordination party for
ciphertext state model training, and obtains the longitudinal federal
decision tree model after the training is completed. The present disclosure can improve the accuracy of joint power prediction modeling and realize more accurate scheduling optimization.