This invention provides a geographically weighted infectious
disease risk
analysis method and
system, comprising: rasterizing multi-
source data and constructing a unified grid dataset and analysis indicator
library; calculating the Pearson
correlation coefficient between grid cases and various indicators in the unified grid dataset, and outputting the final set of influencing indicators; determining the neighborhood range using an adaptive bandwidth method and determining the spatial weights corresponding to neighborhood samples based on a specified kernel function; constructing
exposure sequences corresponding to the
current analysis period and multiple historical
lag periods for each key indicator; forming a cross-basis local sample set based on the cross-basis features constructed based on the target
grid cell and neighboring grid cells, constructing a geographically weighted distributed
lag nonlinear model based on the cross-basis local sample set, and performing
local regression fitting; comparing the effect differences of different
exposure levels over all
lag periods to obtain the
cumulative effect value, and determining the lag period that contributes the most to the infectious
disease risk of the target
grid cell as the optimal lag period.