-day historical output data sample of a photovoltaic power station of a target region is collected, and a photovoltaic relative output time sequence model based on multi-parameter beta distribution is established; (4) according to the load time sequence model based on multi-parameter normal distribution and the photovoltaic relative output time sequence model based on multi-parameter beta distribution, a semi-invariant-based probabilistic load flow method is adopted to calculate a voltage out-of -limit risk evaluation index; (5) a voltage out-of -limit risk limit Rvs_limit is set, and a mixed approximation method is adopted to evaluate the photovoltaic digestion capability of the power distribution network. The method takes the time sequence and uncertainty of distributed loads and photovoltaic output into full consideration, and by quantitatively evaluating the voltage out-of -limit risk of the power distribution network, the method provides a reference for the evaluation of the capacity of the photovoltaic-connected power distribution network.
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