The invention discloses a
risk assessment and optimization method based on an abnormal operation state of a low-
voltage power distribution network, and relates to the field of
risk assessment and optimization of the low-
voltage power distribution network. The low-
voltage power distribution network
risk assessment model comprises a
mathematical model unit, a deterministic three-phase
power flow improved calculation unit, a source-load probability distribution unit and a Monte Carlo probability
power flow calculation unit, and low-voltage power distribution network abnormal operation state assessment parameters are defined based on the low-voltage power distribution network risk assessment model. And configuring a risk
weight coefficient for the evaluation parameters of the abnormal operation state of the low-voltage power distribution network to obtain a comprehensive risk, and performing evaluation optimization on the risk of the low-voltage power distribution network through a
genetic algorithm based on the comprehensive risk Psys. By the adoption of the method, the risk that abnormal operation states such as
overvoltage and three-phase unbalance degree out-of-limit happen to the low-voltage power
distribution system in the high-permeability distributed
new energy region is effectively reduced, and
power flow distribution probability statistical data of all phases and the
neutral line are obtained through quick and accurate calculation.