The invention provides a
production line equipment fault prediction method and
system, and relates to the technical field of fault prediction.The method comprises the steps that multi-source
time sequence signals are synchronously collected, a multi-dimensional health feature sequence is extracted, the comprehensive sensing capacity covering multiple states of equipment is established, and further, the fault prediction efficiency is improved. By selecting a key health feature sequence for each device and performing
linear fitting to quantify the performance degradation severity, accurate description and early recognition of the performance degradation trend of the device are realized, and in addition, the causal influence intensity between the devices is quantified by adopting a
transfer entropy algorithm, so that the accuracy of the performance degradation trend is improved. Scientific modeling and visual analysis of a
fault propagation path and a linkage effect in a
production line are realized, and a comprehensive
risk index is generated through weighted fusion of performance degradation severity and a global
impact factor, so that a comprehensive
risk assessment index is formed. Based on the cumulative
failure probability function, the comprehensive
risk index is converted into a
fault probability curve changing along with time, a visual mathematical expression of the risk trend is formed, and a scientific basis is provided for
decision making.