The invention discloses a method for establishing a
risk model for predicting intrahepatic
cholestasis of pregnant women with maternal serum
alpha fetoprotein. The method comprises the following steps: (1) dividing pregnant women into a case group and a control group according to the presence or absence of intrahepatic
cholestasis in the
gestation period, wherein the case group refers to a pregnant woman who is clinically diagnosed with intrahepatic
cholestasis in the
gestation period, and the control group refers to a pregnant woman who is randomly selected and has normal fetal development inthe same period; (2) detecting AFP levels of serum of two groups of pregnant women by adopting a time-resolved
immunofluorescence method, constructing a risk calculation model by combining MOM valuesof the AFP with the prenatal age, and determining an optimal truncation value and an area AUC under the curve according to an ROC curve; (3) during detection, detecting the AFP level of the serum ofthe pregnant woman to be detected by adopting a time-resolved
immunofluorescence method; and screening by using a risk calculation model constructed by combining the AFP with the prenatal age, and when the MOM value of the AFP of the serum of the pregnant woman to be detected is combined with the AUC predicted by the prenatal age modeling to exceed a set threshold value, judging that the
fetus ofthe pregnant woman to be detected is intrahepatic cholestasis in the
gestation period. The method has the beneficial effects that the MOM value of the AFP of the serum of the pregnant woman is combined with the pre-delivery age to screen the intrahepatic cholestasis in the
gestation period, so that the method has high sensitivity and specificity and can become a new marker for predicting the intrahepatic cholestasis in the
gestation period; the risk calculation model constructed by combining the MOM value of the AFP of the serum of the pregnant woman with the prenatal age has a great clinicalvalue in screening the intrahepatic cholestasis in the
gestation period.