The present ivnetion relates to a
power transmission and transformation
equipment state prediction method and
system. The method comprises: acquiring
observation data of to-be-predicted equipment and constructing a
characteristic sequence; acquiring a classification maximizing a probability of each characteristic vector in the
characteristic sequence from a preset probability classification model; and according to the characteristic vectors and an optimal predictive coefficient corresponding to a probability classification model class of the classification maximizing the probability of each characteristic vector, performing a calculation to obtain predicted data corresponding to the to-be predicted equipment, and outputting the predicted data. The
characteristic sequence is constructed according to the
observation data of the to-be-predicted equipment, and the probability classification model class constructed by historical
observation data of
power transmission and transformation equipment is combined to obtain the corresponding optimal predictive coefficient so as to
complete data prediction on the to-be-predicted equipment. According to the
power transmission and transformation
equipment state prediction method and
system provided by the present invention, a characteristic
changing trend is fully excavated from the historical data of the equipment, and the optimal predictive coefficient is adopted to predict an
equipment state, so that a better prediction effect can be obtained, the method and the
system can take a good effect of carrying out state monitoring, early-warning diagnosis and the like on the power transmission and transformation equipment, and reliability is improved.