The invention relates to a
risk evaluation method for water inrush and sand inrush of a
coal mine under a thin
bedrock condition of a thick unconsolidated formation, and the
risk evaluation method comprises the following steps: analyzing water inrush and sand inrush disaster
pregnancy conditions, and on the basis of referring to the previous roof water inrush and sand inrush
index selection experience, aiming at the geological conditions of the thin
bedrock of the thick unconsolidated formation; and a four-dimensional water inrush and sand inrush
risk evaluation system for unconsolidated formation characteristics,
bedrock structures, mining conditions and structural properties is constructed. An entropy weight-
principal component analysis combined weighting model is provided, index discrete features are quantified through an
entropy weight method, index redundancy is eliminated in combination with
principal component analysis, objectivity and scientificity of
weight distribution are achieved, the weight significance of key indexes is improved, and therefore the water inrush and sand inrush
risk identification precision is improved. And finally, on the basis of a
vulnerability index and a natural discontinuity point classification method, the Wanfu mining area is divided into five-level risk areas, the division result preliminarily reveals the law of structure dominance and water-resisting layer disaster control, and the structure-
hydrology-
engineering coupling disaster-causing mechanism under the condition of thick unconsolidated strata and thin bedrock is clarified.