The invention relates to the technical field of website data statistic analysis and particularly discloses a website page view prediction method based on historical tendency weights. The method comprises the steps of data preprocessing and prediction result processing, wherein in the data preprocessing step, the logarithm of page views is taken, the variance of all time points in the historical tendency is calculated, the regression coefficient of the ith historical tendency to the current tendency is calculated, the variance of correlation coefficients of a current value estimated according to the ith historical tendency is calculated, deviation is estimated through an optimization minimization method to solve the weights, and the value appearing after the current tendency is predicted according to the weights; in the prediction result processing step, a prediction result is subjected to exponential transformation. According to the website page view prediction method, the known current tendency is compared with the historical tendencies for calculation of the correlation coefficients, the deviation of the current tendency is estimated according to all the historical tendencies, the weight of each historical tendency is selected through the optimization method, estimations at all dates are superposed according to the weights, and the current tendency and a follow-up tendency can be predicted according to a superposition result, so that the deviation of the estimations of the current tendency by synthesizing the historical tendencies is minimum, and reliable prediction is achieved.