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278results about How to "Reliable prediction" patented technology

System and method for performing 4-dimensional navigation

A system and method are disclosed for computing a vehicle's motion in four dimensions (e.g., three spatial dimensions and time) and reliably predicting the vehicle's arrival time at a predetermined location, by providing a graphical display to an operator of the vehicle's progress that enables the operator to adjust the vehicle's movement and achieve the desired arrival time. Specifically, a system and method are disclosed for computing the movement of an aircraft in four dimensions, predicting its arrival time at a predetermined waypoint, and displaying (in a highly intuitive format) the aircraft's progress in achieving that desired arrival time. The pilot can then adjust the movement (e.g., speed) of the aircraft in accordance with the parameter(s) displayed, in order to achieve the desired arrival time. Thus, for example, numerous aircraft could be scheduled to arrive at a specific final approach waypoint at a predetermined rate (e.g., one aircraft per minute), which would enable the traffic controllers to optimize runway traffic without having to stack the aircraft in holding patterns and thereby waste fuel. Notably, although an example of an aircraft navigation and control system and method is disclosed, the system and method can be implemented for any type of vehicle (e.g., aircraft, spacecraft, ship, submarine, bus, train, automobile, etc.) whose operator desires to reach a particular location at a specified time.
Owner:HONEYWELL INT INC

Transformer fault prediction method based on monitoring data of dissolved gas in oil of transformer

The invention provides a transformer fault prediction method based on monitoring data of a dissolved gas in the oil of a transformer. The method includes the following steps of: optimization of historical online data of the dissolved gas in the oil of the transformer, model identification of the optimized data, estimation of auto-regression moving average model parameters, model checking and establishment. With the transformer fault prediction method adopted, the content of the characteristic gas in the oil of the transformer at any time point in the future can be predicted, and therefore, the faults of the transformer can be judged, and maintenance measures can be put forward. Compared with the prior art, the method can improve sample quality, embody individual characteristics of the transformer and reflect a characteristic that the dissolved gas in the oil changes with time. Since data obtained through adopting the method do not change abruptly, the method can make more stable and concise physical interpretation compared with a prediction model which is established through adopting traditional machine learning. With the transformer fault prediction method adopted, the accuracy of online data prediction of the dissolved gas in the oil of the transformer can be improved, and fault prediction and maintenance measures can be more accurate and reliable; a reliable guarantee can be provided for the maintenance and use of the transformer; and the service life of the transformer can be prolonged.
Owner:CHINA ELECTRIC POWER RES INST +2

GMS (groundwater modeling system)-based forecast method for ground water seepage fields at different mining levels of mining area

The invention discloses a GMS-based (groundwater modeling system) forecast method for ground water seepage fields at different mining levels of a mining area. The method comprises the steps that through performing analytical investigation on hydrogeological conditions of an area, boundary conditions and water containing bodies are generalized, ground water runoff conditions are analyzed, and coefficients of each source sink term are determined; the GMS is adopted to perform finite difference grid division on a simulation area, an initial water head is determined based on the water level of an observation well, hydrological parameters of each simulation sub-area are determined based on a pumping test and the provided data, hydrological module types of the source sink terms in the area are analyzed, assignment is performed on a corresponding hydrogeological map layer by combining the determined source sink term coefficients, and then a subarea map of the osmotic coefficients at different mining levels is obtained; prediction models for ground water seepage fields of a mining area are established based on GMS, and the observation data is utilized to adjust the hydrogeological parameters of the models, and finally, simulation is performed by combining with the discharge capacities at different mining levels to obtain the ground water seepage fields at different mining levels. The method has the advantages of convenience in operation, excellent three-dimensional visualization function and reliable result.
Owner:CENT SOUTH UNIV
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