The application discloses a
power grid monitoring and risk early warning method and
system based on digital twinning and AI, which comprises the following steps: comparing, under the same time slice, the synchronous acquisition data with the
nodal and
branch flow calculation results and reference quantities of the digital twinning
power grid model, and generating a residual vector; constructing an influence relationship matrix based on the
power flow Jacobian matrix, the
branch power balance relationship and the upstream and downstream power conservation relationship; solving each cause group disturbance variable by using
weighted least squares estimation and sparse group constraint, and determining the confidence; correcting the digital twinning
power grid model according to the confidence, updating the
data reliability and labeling the historical acquisition samples; training the load prediction model based on the labeled samples, generating representative working conditions, performing
power flow calculation, counting the out-of-limit conditions and obtaining the
risk ranking. The application can improve the accuracy of power grid anomaly attribution, load prediction and risk early warning.