The invention discloses a multi-discipline uncertainty propagation
analysis method based on Newton iteration and belongs to the field of multi-discipline uncertainty propagation analysis. The multi-discipline uncertainty propagation
analysis method comprises the following steps: firstly, reasonably characterizing uncertainty parameters under conditions of poor information and less data by utilizing an interval as shown in the description; secondly, setting initial upper and lower bounds shown in the description of a suitable
coupling variable, wherein the initial value of k is 1; thirdly, carrying out single-discipline optimization to obtain upper and lower bounds of y(k+1), wherein y(k+1) is a value of y obtained in the kth time of circulating; and finally, calculating residual parameters and judging whether residual parameters are converged or not; if so, outputting a responding interval of a
coupling state variable; otherwise, carrying out the next time of circulating until the residual parameters are converged. A numerical example shows that the multi-discipline uncertainty propagation
analysis method based on the Newton iteration can be used for obtaining an accurate
coupling variable responding interval under certain conditions; and compared with a
fixed point iteration method, the convergence speed is higher and a new method is provided for the multi-discipline uncertainty propagation analysis.